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Hallescher FC vs Germania Halberstadt — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Hallescher FC
Hallescher FC
FT
4 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Germania Halberstadt
Germania Halberstadt
1/20/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Hallescher FC73%
×Draw14%
Germania Halberstadt12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hallescher FC
3.10
Germania Halberstadt
1.23

Hallescher FC creates 152% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Hallescher FC
2.83
Germania Halberstadt
1.13

allows per match

Hallescher FC
1.33
Germania Halberstadt
3.38

finishing

Hallescher FC+0.00on par
Germania Halberstadt+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hallescher FC ↓

Germania Halberstadt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–15%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–16%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
61%39%4.5
41%59%

Double chance

Hallescher FC or draw
88%
Hallescher FC or Germania Halberstadt
86%
Draw or Germania Halberstadt
27%

Winning margin

Hallescher FC wins by 2+
54%
Germania Halberstadt wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Hallescher FC 1+ goals
95%
Hallescher FC 2+ goals
81%
Hallescher FC 3+ goals
58%
Germania Halberstadt 1+ goals
71%
Germania Halberstadt 2+ goals
35%
Germania Halberstadt 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Hallescher FC (draw refunded)
86%
Germania Halberstadt (draw refunded)
14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hallescher FC at home — creates 2.83, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Germania Halberstadt away — creates 1.13, concedes 3.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hallescher FC attack 2.83 + Germania Halberstadt defence 3.38 → ÷2 → 3.10

Germania Halberstadt attack 1.13 + Hallescher FC defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Hallescher FC scores more
73%
level
14%
Germania Halberstadt scores more
12%

Hallescher FC at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Hallescher FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Hallescher
Germania
Robert Schroder
Manager: Robert Schroder
A. Petersen
Manager: A. Petersen

Match Recap: Hallescher FC vs Germania Halberstadt

Hallescher FC beat Germania Halberstadt 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2026.