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Hallescher FC U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Hallescher FC U19
Hallescher FC U19
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
RB Leipzig U19
RB Leipzig U19
N. Langer 85'
Abdul Al Khalaf 82'
H. Müller 12'
8/9/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 2NLZ HFC - Raab Karcher Halle & Partner Platz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 37+ matches

Hallescher FC U1932%
×Draw21%
RB Leipzig U1947%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hallescher FC U19
1.68
RB Leipzig U19
2.08

RB Leipzig U19 creates 24% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 73 away

creates per match

Hallescher FC U19
1.89
RB Leipzig U19
2.16

allows per match

Hallescher FC U19
2.00
RB Leipzig U19
1.47

finishing

Hallescher FC U19+0.00on par
RB Leipzig U19+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hallescher FC U19 ↓

RB Leipzig U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–25%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Hallescher FC U19 or draw
53%
Hallescher FC U19 or RB Leipzig U19
79%
Draw or RB Leipzig U19
68%

Winning margin

Hallescher FC U19 wins by 2+
15%
RB Leipzig U19 wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Hallescher FC U19 1+ goals
81%
Hallescher FC U19 2+ goals
50%
Hallescher FC U19 3+ goals
24%
RB Leipzig U19 1+ goals
87%
RB Leipzig U19 2+ goals
61%
RB Leipzig U19 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

Hallescher FC U19 (draw refunded)
40%
RB Leipzig U19 (draw refunded)
60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hallescher FC U19 at home — creates 1.89, concedes 2.00 · 37 matches

RB Leipzig U19 away — creates 2.16, concedes 1.47 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hallescher FC U19 attack 1.89 + RB Leipzig U19 defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.68

RB Leipzig U19 attack 2.16 + Hallescher FC U19 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Hallescher FC U19 scores more
32%
level
21%
RB Leipzig U19 scores more
47%

RB Leipzig U19 at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "RB Leipzig U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'
H. Müller
82'
Abdul Al Khalaf
85'
N. Langer
Hallescher
RB
T. Donath
Manager: T. Donath
S. Heidinger
Manager: S. Heidinger

U19 Bundesliga: Hallescher FC U19 1–2 RB Leipzig U19

RB Leipzig U19 beat Hallescher FC U19 2-1 in U19 Bundesliga on August 9, 2025.

Goals: H. Müller (12'), Abdul Al Khalaf (82'), N. Langer (85').

The match was played at NLZ HFC - Raab Karcher Halle & Partner Platz in Halle (Saale).