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Hakoah Sydney City vs Macarthur Rams — New South Wales NPL 2 2026

Hakoah Sydney City
Hakoah Sydney City
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Macarthur Rams
Macarthur Rams
3/15/2026New South Wales NPL 2New South Wales NPL 2 · Round 6

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Hakoah Sydney City51%
×Draw23%
Macarthur Rams26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hakoah Sydney City
1.84
Macarthur Rams
1.27

Hakoah Sydney City creates 45% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 56 away

creates per match

Hakoah Sydney City
1.84
Macarthur Rams
0.95

allows per match

Hakoah Sydney City
1.59
Macarthur Rams
1.84

finishing

Hakoah Sydney City+0.00on par
Macarthur Rams+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hakoah Sydney City ↓

Macarthur Rams →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Hakoah Sydney City or draw
74%
Hakoah Sydney City or Macarthur Rams
77%
Draw or Macarthur Rams
49%

Winning margin

Hakoah Sydney City wins by 2+
28%
Macarthur Rams wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Hakoah Sydney City 1+ goals
84%
Hakoah Sydney City 2+ goals
55%
Hakoah Sydney City 3+ goals
28%
Macarthur Rams 1+ goals
72%
Macarthur Rams 2+ goals
36%
Macarthur Rams 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Hakoah Sydney City (draw refunded)
66%
Macarthur Rams (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hakoah Sydney City at home — creates 1.84, concedes 1.59 · 76 matches

Macarthur Rams away — creates 0.95, concedes 1.84 · 56 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hakoah Sydney City attack 1.84 + Macarthur Rams defence 1.84 → ÷2 → 1.84

Macarthur Rams attack 0.95 + Hakoah Sydney City defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Hakoah Sydney City scores more
51%
level
23%
Macarthur Rams scores more
26%

Hakoah Sydney City at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Hakoah Sydney City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

New South Wales NPL 2: Hakoah Sydney City 0–0 Macarthur Rams

Hakoah Sydney City and Macarthur Rams drew 0-0 in New South Wales NPL 2 on March 15, 2026.