Hakla SC 0–0 Great Olympics: Result & Stats

Hakla SC

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Great Olympics

1/25/2026

Division One League · Round 17

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Hakla SC41%

×Draw32%

Great Olympics26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hakla SCExpected goals in this matchGreat Olympics

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.04

0.77

Hakla SC

1.04

Great Olympics

0.77

Hakla SC creates 35% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.27

creates per match

0.60

0.93

allows per match

0.80

creates per match

Hakla SC

1.27

Great Olympics

0.60

allows per match

Hakla SC

0.93

Great Olympics

0.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hakla SC+0.00on par

Great Olympics+0.00on par

Total goals

Under73
Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No65
Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hakla SC ↓

Great Olympics →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–113%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

54%46%2.5

27%73%3.5

11%89%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Hakla SC or draw

74%

Hakla SC or Great Olympics

68%

Draw or Great Olympics

59%

Winning margin

Hakla SC wins by 2+

16%

Great Olympics wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Hakla SC 1+ goals

65%

Hakla SC 2+ goals

28%

Hakla SC 3+ goals

9%

Great Olympics 1+ goals

54%

Great Olympics 2+ goals

18%

Great Olympics 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Hakla SC (draw refunded)

61%

Great Olympics (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

22%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hakla SC at home — creates 1.27, concedes 0.93 · 15 matches

Great Olympics away — creates 0.60, concedes 0.80 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hakla SC attack 1.27 + Great Olympics defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.04

Great Olympics attack 0.60 + Hakla SC defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Hakla SC scores more

41%

level

32%

Great Olympics scores more

26%

Hakla SC at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Hakla SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff