H&H Export 0–0 Jalapa: Result & Stats

H&H Export

AET

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Jalapa

11/29/2023

Primera Division · Apertura - Preliminary Play-offsEstadio Carlos Fonseca Amador

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 95+ matches

H&H Export54%

×Draw23%

Jalapa23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

H&H ExportExpected goals in this matchJalapa

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.85

1.13

H&H Export

1.85

Jalapa

1.13

H&H Export creates 64% more chances

Season form · 95 home / 131 away

1.63

creates per match

0.91

1.34

allows per match

2.08

creates per match

H&H Export

1.63

Jalapa

0.91

allows per match

H&H Export

1.34

Jalapa

2.08

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

H&H Export+0.00on par

Jalapa+0.00on par

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

H&H Export ↓

Jalapa →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

57%43%3.5

35%65%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

H&H Export or draw

77%

H&H Export or Jalapa

77%

Draw or Jalapa

46%

Winning margin

H&H Export wins by 2+

31%

Jalapa wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

H&H Export 1+ goals

84%

H&H Export 2+ goals

55%

H&H Export 3+ goals

28%

Jalapa 1+ goals

68%

Jalapa 2+ goals

31%

Jalapa 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

H&H Export (draw refunded)

70%

Jalapa (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

H&H Export at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.34 · 95 matches

Jalapa away — creates 0.91, concedes 2.08 · 131 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

H&H Export attack 1.63 + Jalapa defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.85

Jalapa attack 0.91 + H&H Export defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

H&H Export scores more

54%

level

23%

Jalapa scores more

23%

H&H Export at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "H&H Export will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: H&H Export vs Jalapa

H&H Export vs Jalapa — Primera Division 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: H&H Export vs Jalapa