Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Gyori ETO II vs Bicskei — NB III - Northwest 2019

Gyori ETO II
Gyori ETO II
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Bicskei
Bicskei
4/3/2026NB III - NorthwestNB III - Northwest · Northwest - 23ETO Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Gyori ETO II37%
×Draw24%
Bicskei39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gyori ETO II
1.54
Bicskei
1.60

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 45 home / 45 away

creates per match

Gyori ETO II
1.76
Bicskei
1.44

allows per match

Gyori ETO II
1.76
Bicskei
1.33

finishing

Gyori ETO II+0.00on par
Bicskei+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyori ETO II ↓

Bicskei →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Gyori ETO II or draw
61%
Gyori ETO II or Bicskei
76%
Draw or Bicskei
63%

Winning margin

Gyori ETO II wins by 2+
18%
Bicskei wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Gyori ETO II 1+ goals
79%
Gyori ETO II 2+ goals
45%
Gyori ETO II 3+ goals
20%
Bicskei 1+ goals
80%
Bicskei 2+ goals
47%
Bicskei 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Gyori ETO II (draw refunded)
48%
Bicskei (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gyori ETO II at home — creates 1.76, concedes 1.76 · 45 matches

Bicskei away — creates 1.44, concedes 1.33 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gyori ETO II attack 1.76 + Bicskei defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.54

Bicskei attack 1.44 + Gyori ETO II defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Gyori ETO II scores more
37%
level
24%
Bicskei scores more
39%

Bicskei at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Bicskei will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Gyori ETO II vs Bicskei

Gyori ETO II beat Bicskei 1-0 in NB III - Northwest on April 3, 2026.

The match was played at ETO Park in Győr.