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Gyori ETO FC vs Servette II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Gyori ETO FC
Gyori ETO FC
CANC
12:00
Servette II
Servette II
1/27/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Gyori ETO FC63%
×Draw17%
Servette II20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gyori ETO FC
2.90
Servette II
1.63

Gyori ETO FC creates 78% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 3 away

creates per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.79
Servette II
1.33

allows per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.93
Servette II
4.00

finishing

Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par
Servette II+0.00on par

Total goals

82%Over
  • Over82
  • Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyori ETO FC ↓

Servette II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
82%18%3.5
65%35%4.5
46%54%

Double chance

Gyori ETO FC or draw
80%
Gyori ETO FC or Servette II
83%
Draw or Servette II
37%

Winning margin

Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+
43%
Servette II wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals
94%
Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals
78%
Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals
54%
Servette II 1+ goals
80%
Servette II 2+ goals
48%
Servette II 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)
76%
Servette II (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gyori ETO FC at home — creates 1.79, concedes 1.93 · 14 matches

Servette II away — creates 1.33, concedes 4.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.79 + Servette II defence 4.00 → ÷2 → 2.90

Servette II attack 1.33 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Gyori ETO FC scores more
63%
level
17%
Servette II scores more
20%

Gyori ETO FC at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Gyori ETO FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Gyori ETO FC face Servette II (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Gyori ETO FC hosting Servette II. Match starts January 27, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.