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Gyori ETO FC vs Šamorín — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Gyori ETO FC
Gyori ETO FC
CANC
00:00
Šamorín
Šamorín
7/10/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Gyori ETO FC52%
×Draw21%
Šamorín27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gyori ETO FC
2.09
Šamorín
1.46

Gyori ETO FC creates 43% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 10 away

creates per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.79
Šamorín
1.00

allows per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.93
Šamorín
2.40

finishing

Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par
Šamorín+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyori ETO FC ↓

Šamorín →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Gyori ETO FC or draw
73%
Gyori ETO FC or Šamorín
79%
Draw or Šamorín
48%

Winning margin

Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+
31%
Šamorín wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals
88%
Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals
62%
Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals
34%
Šamorín 1+ goals
77%
Šamorín 2+ goals
43%
Šamorín 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)
66%
Šamorín (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gyori ETO FC at home — creates 1.79, concedes 1.93 · 14 matches

Šamorín away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.40 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.79 + Šamorín defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 2.09

Šamorín attack 1.00 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Gyori ETO FC scores more
52%
level
21%
Šamorín scores more
27%

Gyori ETO FC at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Gyori ETO FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Gyori ETO FC host Šamorín

July 10, 2021: Gyori ETO FC take on Šamorín in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.