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Gyori ETO FC vs Kisvarda FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Gyori ETO FC
Gyori ETO FC
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC
A. Jovicic 68'
M. Spasic 25'
C. Bumba 87', 20'
7/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Honvéd MFA Utánpótlás Központ

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Gyori ETO FC39%
×Draw24%
Kisvarda FC37%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gyori ETO FC
1.59
Kisvarda FC
1.54

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 17 home / 15 away

creates per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.65
Kisvarda FC
1.33

allows per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.76
Kisvarda FC
1.53

finishing

Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par
Kisvarda FC+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyori ETO FC ↓

Kisvarda FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Gyori ETO FC or draw
63%
Gyori ETO FC or Kisvarda FC
76%
Draw or Kisvarda FC
61%

Winning margin

Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+
19%
Kisvarda FC wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals
80%
Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals
47%
Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals
21%
Kisvarda FC 1+ goals
79%
Kisvarda FC 2+ goals
45%
Kisvarda FC 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)
51%
Kisvarda FC (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gyori ETO FC at home — creates 1.65, concedes 1.76 · 17 matches

Kisvarda FC away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.53 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.65 + Kisvarda FC defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.59

Kisvarda FC attack 1.33 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Gyori ETO FC scores more
39%
level
24%
Kisvarda FC scores more
37%

Gyori ETO FC at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Gyori ETO FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'
C. Bumba
25'
M. Spasic
68'
A. Jovicic
87'
C. Bumba

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Gyori ETO FC 2–2 Kisvarda FC

Gyori ETO FC and Kisvarda FC drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on July 20, 2024.

Goals: C. Bumba (20', 87'), M. Spasic (25'), A. Jovicic (68').

The match was played at Honvéd MFA Utánpótlás Központ in Budapest.