Gyori ETO FC 2–2 FK Partizan: Result & Stats

Gyori ETO FC

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 2

FK Partizan

N. Njie 89'

Z. Gavric 27'

D. Jankovic 18'

M. Ninic 9'

1/10/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Gyori ETO FC40%

×Draw22%

FK Partizan38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Gyori ETO FCExpected goals in this matchFK Partizan

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.78

1.73

Gyori ETO FC

1.78

FK Partizan

1.73

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 15 home / 9 away

1.67

creates per match

1.67

1.80

allows per match

1.89

creates per match

Gyori ETO FC

1.67

FK Partizan

1.67

allows per match

Gyori ETO FC

1.80

FK Partizan

1.89

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par

FK Partizan+0.00on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyori ETO FC ↓

FK Partizan →

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–33%

0–41%

1–05%

1–19%

1–28%

1–35%

1–42%

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Gyori ETO FC or draw

62%

Gyori ETO FC or FK Partizan

78%

Draw or FK Partizan

60%

Winning margin

Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+

21%

FK Partizan wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals

83%

Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals

53%

Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals

26%

FK Partizan 1+ goals

82%

FK Partizan 2+ goals

52%

FK Partizan 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)

51%

FK Partizan (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

59%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Gyori ETO FC at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.80 · 15 matches

FK Partizan away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.89 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.67 + FK Partizan defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.78

FK Partizan attack 1.67 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 40%?"

Gyori ETO FC scores more

40%

level

22%

FK Partizan scores more

38%

Gyori ETO FC at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Gyori ETO FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'

27'

89'

Gyori

⚽

⚽

⚽

Manager: Balazs Borbely

Gyori ETO FC substitutes

11Njie

Manager: Srdjan Blagojevic