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Gyori ETO FC vs BVSC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Gyori ETO FC
Gyori ETO FC
FT
3 – 0
BVSC
BVSC
7/22/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Gyori ETO FC51%
×Draw22%
BVSC26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gyori ETO FC
1.90
BVSC
1.30

Gyori ETO FC creates 46% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 6 away

creates per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.79
BVSC
0.67

allows per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.93
BVSC
2.00

finishing

Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par
BVSC+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyori ETO FC ↓

BVSC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Gyori ETO FC or draw
74%
Gyori ETO FC or BVSC
78%
Draw or BVSC
49%

Winning margin

Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+
29%
BVSC wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals
85%
Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals
56%
Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals
29%
BVSC 1+ goals
73%
BVSC 2+ goals
37%
BVSC 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)
66%
BVSC (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gyori ETO FC at home — creates 1.79, concedes 1.93 · 14 matches

BVSC away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.79 + BVSC defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.90

BVSC attack 0.67 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Gyori ETO FC scores more
51%
level
22%
BVSC scores more
26%

Gyori ETO FC at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Gyori ETO FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Gyori ETO FC vs BVSC

Gyori ETO FC beat BVSC 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 22, 2020.