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Guangzhou Dandelion vs Langfang Glory City — League Two 2026

Guangzhou Dandelion
Guangzhou Dandelion
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Langfang Glory City
Langfang Glory City
Wen Wubin 32'
Ye Daoxin 58'
7/12/2026League TwoLeague Two · Round 16Zengcheng Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Guangzhou Dandelion46%
×Draw27%
Langfang Glory City26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Guangzhou Dandelion
1.38
Langfang Glory City
0.97

Guangzhou Dandelion creates 42% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 37 away

creates per match

Guangzhou Dandelion
1.43
Langfang Glory City
0.84

allows per match

Guangzhou Dandelion
1.09
Langfang Glory City
1.32

finishing

Guangzhou Dandelion+0.00on par
Langfang Glory City+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Guangzhou Dandelion ↓

Langfang Glory City →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–19%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Guangzhou Dandelion or draw
74%
Guangzhou Dandelion or Langfang Glory City
73%
Draw or Langfang Glory City
54%

Winning margin

Guangzhou Dandelion wins by 2+
22%
Langfang Glory City wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Guangzhou Dandelion 1+ goals
75%
Guangzhou Dandelion 2+ goals
40%
Guangzhou Dandelion 3+ goals
16%
Langfang Glory City 1+ goals
62%
Langfang Glory City 2+ goals
25%
Langfang Glory City 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Guangzhou Dandelion (draw refunded)
64%
Langfang Glory City (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Guangzhou Dandelion at home — creates 1.43, concedes 1.09 · 23 matches

Langfang Glory City away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.32 · 37 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Guangzhou Dandelion attack 1.43 + Langfang Glory City defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.38

Langfang Glory City attack 0.84 + Guangzhou Dandelion defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Guangzhou Dandelion scores more
46%
level
27%
Langfang Glory City scores more
26%

Guangzhou Dandelion at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Guangzhou Dandelion will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

19'
Y. Yanjun
23'
Wen Wubin
31'
R. Shohret
32'
Wen Wubin↳ Murathan Ares
46'
Fan Ruiwei← Wen Wubin
46'
Jin Minyu← J. Zhang
46'
Li Yadi← Xiang Yuheng
58'
Ye Daoxin↳ Li Da
59'
Liang Junheng← Nihmat Nihat
59'
K. Gao← Diao Jiahao
62'
Damlinjab← Ying Yuxiao
71'
R. Shohret
71'
R. Shohret
76'
Li Haoyu← J. Lu
83'
Liu Xiangchen← Zhang Ran
85'
Tang Kaiqi← Wu Yuhang
88'
He Tongshuai← Ye Daoxin

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Guangzhou Dandelion 1 – 1 Langfang Glory City

Guangzhou Dandelion and Langfang Glory City drew 1-1 in League Two on July 12, 2026.

Goals: Wen Wubin (32'), Ye Daoxin (58').

The match was played at Zengcheng Stadium in Guangzhou.