Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 5+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
47%
Over
53%
Under
Both Score
51%
Yes
49%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
xG Profile (5 home / 8 away matches)
Gremio
xG 1.57 · xGA 1.17
+0.03 vs xG
Sao Paulo
xG 1.07 · xGA 1.27
+0.06 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Oct 16, 2025, 10:00 PM
- Tournament
- Serie A · Regular Season - 28
- Venue
- Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Gremio
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51538%
- Under 2.52462%
Both teams scored
- Yes2154%
- No1846%
Sao Paulo
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52344%
- Under 2.52956%
Both teams scored
- Yes2446%
- No2854%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Corinthians
Santos
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vitoria
Botafogo
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Remo
Juventude
Chapecoense-sc
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Sport RecifeIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Gremio host Sao Paulo on Thursday, 16 October 2025 at 22:00. The match is part of the Serie A 2026/2027 season.
Serie A: Gremio 2–0 Sao Paulo
Gremio beat Sao Paulo 2-0 in Serie A on October 16, 2025.
The match was played at Arena do Grêmio in Porto Alegre.