Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Cliftonville FC vs Banbridge Town — League #559 2026

Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
FT
4 – 0
Banbridge Town
Banbridge Town
8/29/2017League #559League #559 · 2nd RoundSolitude

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Cliftonville FC83%
×Draw11%
Banbridge Town6%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cliftonville FC
3.33
Banbridge Town
0.83

Cliftonville FC creates 301% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

Cliftonville FC
4.00
Banbridge Town
0.67

allows per match

Cliftonville FC
1.00
Banbridge Town
2.67

finishing

Cliftonville FC+0.00on par
Banbridge Town+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cliftonville FC ↓

Banbridge Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–15%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–17%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (10%) · grid covers 80% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Cliftonville FC or draw
94%
Cliftonville FC or Banbridge Town
89%
Draw or Banbridge Town
17%

Winning margin

Cliftonville FC wins by 2+
66%
Banbridge Town wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Cliftonville FC 1+ goals
96%
Cliftonville FC 2+ goals
84%
Cliftonville FC 3+ goals
63%
Banbridge Town 1+ goals
56%
Banbridge Town 2+ goals
20%
Banbridge Town 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Cliftonville FC (draw refunded)
93%
Banbridge Town (draw refunded)
7%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cliftonville FC at home — creates 4.00, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Banbridge Town away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cliftonville FC attack 4.00 + Banbridge Town defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 3.33

Banbridge Town attack 0.67 + Cliftonville FC defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 83%?"

Cliftonville FC scores more
83%
level
11%
Banbridge Town scores more
6%

Cliftonville FC at 83% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 83% does not mean "Cliftonville FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #559: Cliftonville FC 4–0 Banbridge Town

Cliftonville FC beat Banbridge Town 4-0 in League #559 on August 29, 2017.

The match was played at Solitude in Belfast.