Greece U19 8–0 Liechtenstein U19: Result & Stats

Greece U19

FT

8 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Liechtenstein U19

G. Sokos 90'

G. Kosidis 83' (pen)

M. Tsigkas 75'

B. Dunga 65'

Z. Karargyris 48' (pen)

A. Mythou 32' (pen), 24', 18'

11/15/2025

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Greece U1991%

×Draw6%

Liechtenstein U193%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Greece U19Expected goals in this matchLiechtenstein U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

3.86

0.60

Greece U19

3.86

Liechtenstein U19

0.60

Greece U19 creates 543% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 8 away

1.47

creates per match

0.13

1.07

allows per match

6.25

creates per match

Greece U19

1.47

Liechtenstein U19

0.13

allows per match

Greece U19

1.07

Liechtenstein U19

6.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Greece U19+0.00on par

Liechtenstein U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over80
Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Greece U19 ↓

Liechtenstein U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–11%

0–20%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–05%

1–13%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–16%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–012%

3–17%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–012%

4–17%

4–22%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (12%) · grid covers 73% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

93%7%2.5

80%20%3.5

61%39%4.5

40%60%

Double chance

Greece U19 or draw

97%

Greece U19 or Liechtenstein U19

94%

Draw or Liechtenstein U19

9%

Winning margin

Greece U19 wins by 2+

78%

Liechtenstein U19 wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Greece U19 1+ goals

98%

Greece U19 2+ goals

89%

Greece U19 3+ goals

71%

Liechtenstein U19 1+ goals

45%

Liechtenstein U19 2+ goals

12%

Liechtenstein U19 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Greece U19 (draw refunded)

97%

Liechtenstein U19 (draw refunded)

3%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Greece U19 at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.07 · 15 matches

Liechtenstein U19 away — creates 0.13, concedes 6.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Greece U19 attack 1.47 + Liechtenstein U19 defence 6.25 → ÷2 → 3.86

Liechtenstein U19 attack 0.13 + Greece U19 defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 0.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 91%?"

Greece U19 scores more

91%

level

6%

Liechtenstein U19 scores more

3%

Greece U19 at 91% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 91% does not mean "Greece U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'

A. Mythou

22'

E. Kryeziu

24'

A. Mythou↳ K. Charoupas

32'

A. MythouPenalty

46'

G. Kosidis← V. Karkatsalis

46'

P. Kolokotronis← P. Tsiotas

46'

E. Hamza← A. Mythou

46'

L. Rizanaj← J. Beck

48'

Z. KarargyrisPenalty

63'

M. Tsigkas← Z. Karargyris

63'

B. Dunga← D. Berdos

65'

B. Dunga

71'

E. Wohlwend← L. Lampert

75'

M. Tsigkas

80'

J. Balbuena← L. Domig

83'

G. KosidisPenalty

90+2'

R. Reisner← A. Lo Russo

90'

G. Sokos

Greece

Liechtenstein

1

15

17

16

6

3

14

8

▼

Beck

5

▼

Domig

9

▼

Russo

7

▼

Lampert

1

Beleris

2

▼

Tsiotas

4

Bataoulas

16

▼

Karkatsal

3

Oyebade

11

⚽

Sokos

15

Filis

18

A

Charoupas

14

⚽

▼

Karargyri

7

⚽3

▼

Mythou

17

▼

Berdos

Manager: V. Moras

46'▲G. Kosidis←▼V. Karkatsalis

46'▲P. Kolokotronis←▼P. Tsiotas

46'▲E. Hamza←▼A. Mythou

63'▲M. Tsigkas←▼Z. Karargyris

63'▲B. Dunga←▼D. Berdos

Greece U19 substitutes

12Kakadiaris5Kosidis6Sarris8Papanikopoulos9Tsigkas10Kolokotronis20Dunga21Hamza22Zeka

Manager: M. Koller

46'▲L. Rizanaj←▼J. Beck

71'▲E. Wohlwend←▼L. Lampert

80'▲J. Balbuena←▼L. Domig

90+2'▲R. Reisner←▼A. Lo Russo

Liechtenstein U19 substitutes

12Hassler2Uz4Zekan10Rizanaj11Saglam13Reisner18Wohlwend19Balbuena