Greece U19 0–0 Faroe Islands U19: Result & Stats

Greece U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Faroe Islands U19

11/13/2021

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 6Papacharalabeio Ethniko Stadio

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Greece U1976%

×Draw16%

Faroe Islands U198%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Greece U19Expected goals in this matchFaroe Islands U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.28

0.58

Greece U19

2.28

Faroe Islands U19

0.58

Greece U19 creates 293% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 11 away

1.47

creates per match

0.09

1.07

allows per match

3.09

creates per match

Greece U19

1.47

Faroe Islands U19

0.09

allows per match

Greece U19

1.07

Faroe Islands U19

3.09

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Greece U19+0.00on par

Faroe Islands U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Greece U19 ↓

Faroe Islands U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–18%

1–22%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–015%

2–19%

2–23%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–011%

3–17%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–07%

4–14%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (15%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Greece U19 or draw

92%

Greece U19 or Faroe Islands U19

84%

Draw or Faroe Islands U19

24%

Winning margin

Greece U19 wins by 2+

52%

Faroe Islands U19 wins by 2+

2%

Team goals

Greece U19 1+ goals

90%

Greece U19 2+ goals

66%

Greece U19 3+ goals

39%

Faroe Islands U19 1+ goals

44%

Faroe Islands U19 2+ goals

12%

Faroe Islands U19 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Greece U19 (draw refunded)

91%

Faroe Islands U19 (draw refunded)

9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Greece U19 at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.07 · 15 matches

Faroe Islands U19 away — creates 0.09, concedes 3.09 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Greece U19 attack 1.47 + Faroe Islands U19 defence 3.09 → ÷2 → 2.28

Faroe Islands U19 attack 0.09 + Greece U19 defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 0.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 76%?"

Greece U19 scores more

76%

level

16%

Faroe Islands U19 scores more

8%

Greece U19 at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Greece U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

58'

F. Petersen← E. Joensen

60'

C. Liatsos← A. Pilios

60'

T. Koutentakis← C. Kryparakos

65'

J. Lassesen← J. Nielsen

65'

P. Kallsberg← O. Bárðarson

71'

A. Christópoulos← I. Karakoutis

79'

T. Kastanaras← M. Tzavidas

81'

S. Kalsø← H. Sørensen

Greece

Faroe

12

Kruuse

2

Poulsen

7

▼

4

14

17

5

8

▼

Joensen

10

▼

Sørensen

20

Samuelsen

9

▼

12

6

4

2

▼

Pilios

21

▼

17

20

5

7

▼

Kryparako

19

Koutsias

9

▼

Tzavidas

Manager: E. Neon

60'▲C. Liatsos←▼A. Pilios

60'▲T. Koutentakis←▼C. Kryparakos

71'▲A. Christópoulos←▼I. Karakoutis

79'▲T. Kastanaras←▼M. Tzavidas

Greece U19 substitutes

18Liatsos8Koutentakis11Christópoulos10Kastanaras1Angelópoulos14Gogouvitis22Smpokos16Christou

Manager: S. Clementsen

58'▲F. Petersen←▼E. Joensen

65'▲J. Lassesen←▼J. Nielsen

65'▲P. Kallsberg←▼O. Bárðarson

81'▲S. Kalsø←▼H. Sørensen

Faroe Islands U19 substitutes

16Petersen19Lassesen11Kallsberg15Kalsø6Hentze1Arngrímsson18Thomsen3Vilhelmsen13Mariusarson

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Greece U19 0–0 Faroe Islands U19

Greece U19 and Faroe Islands U19 drew 0-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on November 13, 2021.

The match was played at Papacharalabeio Ethniko Stadio in Nafpaktos.

Greece U19 vs Faroe Islands U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Greece U19 0–0 Faroe Islands U19