Greece U19 3–0 Andorra U19: Result & Stats

Greece U19

FT

3 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Andorra U19

G. Kyriopoulos 75'

G. Koutsias 36'

Z. Tsikos 9'

9/24/2022

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 3Stade des Arbères

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Greece U1965%

×Draw22%

Andorra U1913%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Greece U19Expected goals in this matchAndorra U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.86

0.70

Greece U19

1.86

Andorra U19

0.70

Greece U19 creates 166% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 12 away

1.47

creates per match

0.33

1.07

allows per match

2.25

creates per match

Greece U19

1.47

Andorra U19

0.33

allows per match

Greece U19

1.07

Andorra U19

2.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Greece U19+0.00on par

Andorra U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Greece U19 ↓

Andorra U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–15%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–110%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Greece U19 or draw

87%

Greece U19 or Andorra U19

78%

Draw or Andorra U19

35%

Winning margin

Greece U19 wins by 2+

39%

Andorra U19 wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Greece U19 1+ goals

84%

Greece U19 2+ goals

55%

Greece U19 3+ goals

28%

Andorra U19 1+ goals

50%

Andorra U19 2+ goals

16%

Andorra U19 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Greece U19 (draw refunded)

83%

Andorra U19 (draw refunded)

17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Greece U19 at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.07 · 15 matches

Andorra U19 away — creates 0.33, concedes 2.25 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Greece U19 attack 1.47 + Andorra U19 defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.86

Andorra U19 attack 0.33 + Greece U19 defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 0.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Greece U19 scores more

65%

level

22%

Andorra U19 scores more

13%

Greece U19 at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Greece U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'

36'

38'

41'

61'

Enric Obiols← Gino Romano

64'

C. Georgiadis← M. Filon

64'

K. Goumas← N. Christou

65'

A. Golfinos← K. Volakis

71'

A. Rente

75'

G. Kyriopoulos

77'

Gerard Sanchez← Marc Rodrigues

78'

Jan Guma← Pau Silva

80'

S. Chatzikyriakos← D. Kottas

80'

V. Nikolaou← C. Alexiou

85'

Nicolas Guasch← Nil Linares

85'

Pol← Gerard Solá

Greece

Andorra

1

Mendes

21

▼

15

5

17

6

19

▼

Linares

8

▼

Silva

9

▼

Solá

11

Rente

10

▼

Romano

1

Monastirl

4

Keramitsi

21

▼

Alexiou

3

▼

Filon

20

Tasiouras

7

⚽

Tsikos

14

▼

Kottas

6

▼

Christou

9

⚽

Koutsias

11

⚽

Kyriopoul

16

▼

Volakis

Manager: T. Theos

64'▲C. Georgiadis←▼M. Filon

64'▲K. Goumas←▼N. Christou

65'▲A. Golfinos←▼K. Volakis

80'▲S. Chatzikyriakos←▼D. Kottas

80'▲V. Nikolaou←▼C. Alexiou

Greece U19 substitutes

2Georgiadis17Goumas18Golfinos5Chatzikyriakos8Nikolaou10Smyrlis12Botis15Kaperdas

Manager: Eloy Casals

61'▲Enric Obiols←▼Gino Romano

77'▲Gerard Sanchez←▼Marc Rodrigues

78'▲Jan Guma←▼Pau Silva

85'▲Nicolas Guasch←▼Nil Linares

85'▲Pol←▼Gerard Solá

Andorra U19 substitutes

14Obiols3Sanchez22Guma20Guasch16Pol7Silva18Silva4Teixeira

Match Recap: Greece U19 vs Andorra U19

Greece U19 beat Andorra U19 3-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on September 24, 2022.

Goals: Z. Tsikos (9'), G. Koutsias (36'), G. Kyriopoulos (75').

The match was played at Stade des Arbères in Meyrin.

Greece U19 vs Andorra U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Greece U19 vs Andorra U19