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Grasshoppers vs FC Zurich — Super League 2025

Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Preview
18:30
FC Zurich
FC Zurich
9/5/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 7Letzigrund Stadion
Big match
47%
Grasshoppers
model favours
47%24%29%

Both teams score in 100% of FC Zurich’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Grasshoppers47%
×Draw24%
FC Zurich29%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Grasshoppers
1.73
FC Zurich
1.31

Grasshoppers creates 32% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 19 away

creates per match

Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Zurich
1.05

allows per match

Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Zurich
1.89

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par
FC Zurich+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

FC Zurich →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw
71%
Grasshoppers or FC Zurich
76%
Draw or FC Zurich
53%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+
25%
FC Zurich wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals
82%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
52%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
25%
FC Zurich 1+ goals
73%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
38%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
62%
FC Zurich (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.56, concedes 1.56 · 27 matches

FC Zurich away — creates 1.05, concedes 1.89 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.56 + FC Zurich defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.73

FC Zurich attack 1.05 + Grasshoppers defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Grasshoppers scores more
47%
level
24%
FC Zurich scores more
29%

Grasshoppers at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Grasshoppers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches
  • FC Zurich score first in only 18% of matches
  • 82% of FC Zurich’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • FC Zurich have won 4 of the last 5 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Grasshoppers
LLWWD
Zurich
LLLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Grasshoppers face FC Zurich (Super League)

Super League returns with Grasshoppers hosting FC Zurich. Match starts September 5, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Grasshoppers host FC Zurich at Letzigrund Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.