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FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers — Super League 2025

FC Zurich
FC Zurich
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
L. Kamberi 20'
11/29/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 15Letzigrund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

FC Zurich42%
×Draw23%
Grasshoppers35%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Zurich
1.71
Grasshoppers
1.53

FC Zurich creates 12% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 28 away

creates per match

FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.11

allows per match

FC Zurich
1.95
Grasshoppers
1.93

finishing

FC Zurich+0.00on par
Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Zurich ↓

Grasshoppers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

FC Zurich or draw
65%
FC Zurich or Grasshoppers
77%
Draw or Grasshoppers
58%

Winning margin

FC Zurich wins by 2+
22%
Grasshoppers wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

FC Zurich 1+ goals
82%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
51%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
24%
Grasshoppers 1+ goals
78%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
45%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

FC Zurich (draw refunded)
55%
Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Zurich at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.95 · 20 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.93 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Zurich attack 1.50 + Grasshoppers defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.71

Grasshoppers attack 1.11 + FC Zurich defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

FC Zurich scores more
42%
level
23%
Grasshoppers scores more
35%

FC Zurich at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "FC Zurich will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

2
L. KamberiFC ZurichFC Zurich · D
9.2

Match Events

-5'
Jahnoah Markelo
-5'
Óscar Clemente
20'
L. Kamberi↳ J. Markelo
22'
Dirk Abels
23'
Cheveyo Tsawa
37'
Abdoulaye Diaby
46'
M. Bangoura← C. Tsawa
51'
Philippe Keny
58'
L. Plange← S. Diarrassouba
61'
D. Odera← D. Reverson
70'
L. Giandomenico← S. Krasniqi
79'
M. Phaeton← P. P. Keny
83'
Livano Comenencia
90+7'
Livano Comenencia
90+4'
Lindrit Kamberi
90+7'
Livano Comenencia
90'
A. Tchamda← J. Markelo
90'
L. Kabashi← H. Imourane

Possession

54%FC

Shots

16FC

Pass accuracy

51%FC

Statistics

FCGrasshoppers
Overview
54%Possession46%
16Total Shots7
1.06Expected Goals (xG)1.24
9Corners3
10Fouls19
Shots
16Total Shots7
6On Target2
6Off Target3
4Blocked2
10Inside Box6
6Outside Box1
Passing
54%Possession46%
293Total Passes251
165Accurate Passes135
56%Pass Accuracy54%
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
Discipline
10Fouls19
5Yellow Cards3
2Red Cards0
0Offsides1

Match Recap: FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers

FC Zurich beat Grasshoppers 1-0 in Super League on November 29, 2025.

Goals: L. Kamberi (20').

FC Zurich controlled possession (54%) and registered 16 shots to 7.

The match was played at Letzigrund Stadion in Zurich.