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Grasshoppers vs FC WIL 1900 — League #208 2026

Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
4/17/2021League #208League #208 · Round 29Stadion Letzigrund

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Grasshoppers45%
×Draw24%
FC WIL 190031%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Grasshoppers
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.33

Grasshoppers creates 26% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 9 away

creates per match

Grasshoppers
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.00

allows per match

Grasshoppers
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.67

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par
FC WIL 1900+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

FC WIL 1900 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw
69%
Grasshoppers or FC WIL 1900
76%
Draw or FC WIL 1900
55%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+
24%
FC WIL 1900 wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals
81%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
50%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
23%
FC WIL 1900 1+ goals
74%
FC WIL 1900 2+ goals
38%
FC WIL 1900 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
60%
FC WIL 1900 (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

FC WIL 1900 away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.67 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.67 + FC WIL 1900 defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.67

FC WIL 1900 attack 1.00 + Grasshoppers defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Grasshoppers scores more
45%
level
24%
FC WIL 1900 scores more
31%

Grasshoppers at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Grasshoppers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #208: Grasshoppers 1–0 FC WIL 1900

Grasshoppers beat FC WIL 1900 1-0 in League #208 on April 17, 2021.

The match was played at Stadion Letzigrund in Zürich.