Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Grasshoppers vs FC Thun — Super League 2025

Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Preview
16:00
FC Thun
FC Thun
1/30/2027Super LeagueSuper League · Round 21Letzigrund Stadion
Big match
45%
FC Thun
model favours
32%24%45%

Both teams score in 100% of FC Thun’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Grasshoppers32%
×Draw24%
FC Thun45%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Grasshoppers
1.39
FC Thun
1.70

FC Thun creates 22% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 19 away

creates per match

Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Thun
1.84

allows per match

Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Thun
1.21

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par
FC Thun+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

FC Thun →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw
55%
Grasshoppers or FC Thun
76%
Draw or FC Thun
68%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+
14%
FC Thun wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals
75%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
40%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
16%
FC Thun 1+ goals
82%
FC Thun 2+ goals
51%
FC Thun 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
41%
FC Thun (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.56, concedes 1.56 · 27 matches

FC Thun away — creates 1.84, concedes 1.21 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.56 + FC Thun defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.39

FC Thun attack 1.84 + Grasshoppers defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Grasshoppers scores more
32%
level
24%
FC Thun scores more
45%

FC Thun at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "FC Thun will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches
  • FC Thun score first in only 30% of matches
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Grasshoppers
Direct / counter-attacking
FC Thun
Balanced
44%Possession50%
70%Pass accuracy68%
12.2ShotsBiggest gap16.1
1.21xG1.46
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
GrasshoppersFC Thun

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

2
Grasshoppers
1
Draws
2
FC Thun
Avg goals: 3.4BTTS: 80%
1–51–31–12–02–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Grasshoppers
LLWWD
Thun
LDWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Grasshoppers host FC Thun

January 30, 2027: Grasshoppers take on FC Thun in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Grasshoppers host FC Thun at Letzigrund Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.