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Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893 — Super League 2025

Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Preview
16:00
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
11/28/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 15Letzigrund Stadion
44%
Grasshoppers
model favours
44%23%34%

Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
65%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Grasshoppers44%
×Draw23%
FC Basel 189334%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Grasshoppers
1.77
FC Basel 1893
1.53

Grasshoppers creates 16% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 21 away

creates per match

Grasshoppers
1.58
FC Basel 1893
1.52

allows per match

Grasshoppers
1.54
FC Basel 1893
1.95

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par
FC Basel 1893+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

FC Basel 1893 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw
66%
Grasshoppers or FC Basel 1893
77%
Draw or FC Basel 1893
56%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+
23%
FC Basel 1893 wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals
83%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
53%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
26%
FC Basel 1893 1+ goals
78%
FC Basel 1893 2+ goals
45%
FC Basel 1893 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
56%
FC Basel 1893 (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.58, concedes 1.54 · 26 matches

FC Basel 1893 away — creates 1.52, concedes 1.95 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.58 + FC Basel 1893 defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 1.77

FC Basel 1893 attack 1.52 + Grasshoppers defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Grasshoppers scores more
44%
level
23%
FC Basel 1893 scores more
34%

Grasshoppers at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Grasshoppers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Basel 1893 score first in only 24% of matches
  • 47% of FC Basel 1893’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Style contrast — Grasshoppers play Direct / counter-attacking, FC Basel 1893 Defensively solid
  • FC Basel 1893 fall short of their xG (1.5 vs 1.8 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Grasshoppers
Direct / counter-attacking
FC Basel 1893
Defensively solid
44%Possession55%
70%Pass accuracy83%
12.1Shots14.2
1.19xGBiggest gap1.80
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
GrasshoppersFC Basel 1893

Head-to-head

3 previous meetings

0
Grasshoppers
1
Draws
2
FC Basel 1893
Avg goals: 2BTTS: 67%
0–11–11–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Grasshoppers
LLWWD
1893
DLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893 — Match Preview

Grasshoppers face FC Basel 1893 on November 28, 2026 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Grasshoppers host FC Basel 1893 at Letzigrund Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.