Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Granada vs Barcelona W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Granada
Granada
Preview
16:00
Barcelona W
Barcelona W
2/7/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 19Ciudad Deportiva del Granada
Big match
76%
Barcelona W
model favours
9%15%76%

Barcelona W have won 6 of the last 6 meetings

brightest fact of this match

0–2
likely score
65%
over 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Granada9%
×Draw15%
Barcelona W76%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Granada
0.78
Barcelona W
2.60

Barcelona W creates 233% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 119 away

creates per match

Granada
1.22
Barcelona W
3.70

allows per match

Granada
1.51
Barcelona W
0.34

finishing

Granada+0.00on par
Barcelona W+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada ↓

Barcelona W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–19%
0–212%
0–310%
0–47%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–24%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (12%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Granada or draw
24%
Granada or Barcelona W
85%
Draw or Barcelona W
91%

Winning margin

Granada wins by 2+
3%
Barcelona W wins by 2+
54%

Team goals

Granada 1+ goals
54%
Granada 2+ goals
18%
Granada 3+ goals
4%
Barcelona W 1+ goals
92%
Barcelona W 2+ goals
73%
Barcelona W 3+ goals
47%

Draw no bet

Granada (draw refunded)
11%
Barcelona W (draw refunded)
89%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.51 · 45 matches

Barcelona W away — creates 3.70, concedes 0.34 · 119 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada attack 1.22 + Barcelona W defence 0.34 → ÷2 → 0.78

Barcelona W attack 3.70 + Granada defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 2.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 76%?"

Granada scores more
9%
level
15%
Barcelona W scores more
76%

Barcelona W at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Barcelona W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Granada win just 18% against the top half (vs 59% against the bottom)
  • Their last 6 meetings averaged 4.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Granada
Balanced
Barcelona W
Possession-dominant
48%Possession74%
71%Pass accuracy89%
12.5ShotsBiggest gap27.2
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
GranadaBarcelona W

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

0
Granada
0
Draws
6
Barcelona W
Avg goals: 4.8BTTS: 50%
0–20–20–21–101–4

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Granada
LLLDW
W
WWWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Granada host Barcelona W

February 7, 2027: Granada take on Barcelona W in Primera División Femenina. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Granada host Barcelona W at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.