Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Granada CF vs Mallorca — Segunda División 2018

Granada CF
Granada CF
Preview
15:00
Mallorca
Mallorca
8/23/2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · Round 2
Big match
46%
Granada CF
model favours
46%29%25%

Mallorca win just 11% of their away games

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
66%
under 2.5 goals
40%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Granada CF46%
×Draw29%
Mallorca25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Granada CF
1.24
Mallorca
0.84

Granada CF creates 48% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 45 away

creates per match

Granada CF
1.57
Mallorca
0.93

allows per match

Granada CF
0.76
Mallorca
0.91

finishing

Granada CF+0.00on par
Mallorca+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada CF ↓

Mallorca →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
34%66%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Granada CF or draw
75%
Granada CF or Mallorca
71%
Draw or Mallorca
54%

Winning margin

Granada CF wins by 2+
20%
Mallorca wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Granada CF 1+ goals
71%
Granada CF 2+ goals
35%
Granada CF 3+ goals
13%
Mallorca 1+ goals
57%
Mallorca 2+ goals
21%
Mallorca 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Granada CF (draw refunded)
64%
Mallorca (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada CF at home — creates 1.57, concedes 0.76 · 83 matches

Mallorca away — creates 0.93, concedes 0.91 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada CF attack 1.57 + Mallorca defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 1.24

Mallorca attack 0.93 + Granada CF defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Granada CF scores more
46%
level
29%
Mallorca scores more
25%

Granada CF at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Granada CF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Granada CF have won 5 of the last 6 meetings
  • 30% of Mallorca’s goals come after the 75th minute

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
CF
DLLLL
Mallorca
WLLDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Granada CF face Mallorca (Segunda División)

Segunda División returns with Granada CF hosting Mallorca. Match starts August 23, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.