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Gosnells City vs Kingsley Westside — Western Australia State League 1 2026

Gosnells City
Gosnells City
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 2
Kingsley Westside
Kingsley Westside
5/31/2025Western Australia State League 1Western Australia State League 1 · Round 10Walter Padbury Reserve A

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Gosnells City29%
×Draw22%
Kingsley Westside49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gosnells City
1.48
Kingsley Westside
1.96

Kingsley Westside creates 32% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 30 away

creates per match

Gosnells City
1.23
Kingsley Westside
1.50

allows per match

Gosnells City
2.41
Kingsley Westside
1.73

finishing

Gosnells City+0.00on par
Kingsley Westside+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gosnells City ↓

Kingsley Westside →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Gosnells City or draw
51%
Gosnells City or Kingsley Westside
78%
Draw or Kingsley Westside
71%

Winning margin

Gosnells City wins by 2+
13%
Kingsley Westside wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Gosnells City 1+ goals
77%
Gosnells City 2+ goals
43%
Gosnells City 3+ goals
19%
Kingsley Westside 1+ goals
86%
Kingsley Westside 2+ goals
58%
Kingsley Westside 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Gosnells City (draw refunded)
38%
Kingsley Westside (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gosnells City at home — creates 1.23, concedes 2.41 · 22 matches

Kingsley Westside away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.73 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gosnells City attack 1.23 + Kingsley Westside defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.48

Kingsley Westside attack 1.50 + Gosnells City defence 2.41 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Gosnells City scores more
29%
level
22%
Kingsley Westside scores more
49%

Kingsley Westside at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Kingsley Westside will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Western Australia State League 1: Gosnells City 0–5 Kingsley Westside

Kingsley Westside beat Gosnells City 5-0 in Western Australia State League 1 on May 31, 2025.

The match was played at Walter Padbury Reserve A in Thornlie.