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Górnik Polkowice vs Slask Wroclaw — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Górnik Polkowice
Górnik Polkowice
FT
0 – 0
Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
7/10/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Górnik

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Górnik Polkowice45%
×Draw22%
Slask Wroclaw33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Górnik Polkowice
1.96
Slask Wroclaw
1.64

Górnik Polkowice creates 20% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 9 away

creates per match

Górnik Polkowice
1.92
Slask Wroclaw
1.44

allows per match

Górnik Polkowice
1.83
Slask Wroclaw
2.00

finishing

Górnik Polkowice+0.00on par
Slask Wroclaw+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 70Under: 3070%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 69No: 3169%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Górnik Polkowice ↓

Slask Wroclaw →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
70%30%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Górnik Polkowice or draw
67%
Górnik Polkowice or Slask Wroclaw
78%
Draw or Slask Wroclaw
55%

Winning margin

Górnik Polkowice wins by 2+
25%
Slask Wroclaw wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Górnik Polkowice 1+ goals
86%
Górnik Polkowice 2+ goals
58%
Górnik Polkowice 3+ goals
31%
Slask Wroclaw 1+ goals
81%
Slask Wroclaw 2+ goals
49%
Slask Wroclaw 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Górnik Polkowice (draw refunded)
58%
Slask Wroclaw (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Górnik Polkowice at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.83 · 12 matches

Slask Wroclaw away — creates 1.44, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Górnik Polkowice attack 1.92 + Slask Wroclaw defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.96

Slask Wroclaw attack 1.44 + Górnik Polkowice defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Górnik Polkowice scores more
45%
level
22%
Slask Wroclaw scores more
33%

Górnik Polkowice at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Górnik Polkowice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Górnik Polkowice vs Slask Wroclaw

Górnik Polkowice and Slask Wroclaw drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 10, 2021.

The match was played at Stadion Górnik in Polkowice.