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Godoy Cruz vs San Martin S.J. — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Godoy Cruz
Godoy Cruz
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
San Martin S.J.
San Martin S.J.
11/2/2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 14Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Godoy Cruz42%
×Draw30%
San Martin S.J.28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Godoy Cruz
1.15
San Martin S.J.
0.89

Godoy Cruz creates 29% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Godoy Cruz
1.18
San Martin S.J.
0.67

allows per match

Godoy Cruz
1.10
San Martin S.J.
1.12

finishing

Godoy Cruz+0.15scores more
San Martin S.J.-0.17scores less

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Godoy Cruz ↓

San Martin S.J. →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–112%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Godoy Cruz or draw
72%
Godoy Cruz or San Martin S.J.
70%
Draw or San Martin S.J.
58%

Winning margin

Godoy Cruz wins by 2+
18%
San Martin S.J. wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Godoy Cruz 1+ goals
68%
Godoy Cruz 2+ goals
32%
Godoy Cruz 3+ goals
11%
San Martin S.J. 1+ goals
59%
San Martin S.J. 2+ goals
22%
San Martin S.J. 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Godoy Cruz (draw refunded)
60%
San Martin S.J. (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Godoy Cruz at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.10 · 6 matches

San Martin S.J. away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.12 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Godoy Cruz attack 1.18 + San Martin S.J. defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.15

San Martin S.J. attack 0.67 + Godoy Cruz defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Godoy Cruz scores more
42%
level
30%
San Martin S.J. scores more
28%

Godoy Cruz at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Godoy Cruz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1
F. PetroliGodoy CruzGodoy Cruz · G
8.3

Match Events

23'
Tomas Lecanda
42'
Agustín AuzmendiGoal cancelled
51'
Matías Borgogno
65'
Facundo Altamira
69'
P. Fernandez← D. Barrea
72'
S. Salle← T. Fernandez
74'
Pol Fernández
77'
S. Martinez← A. Valverde
82'
S. Barrera← I. Maestro
89'
M. Orihuela← L. Diarte
90+3'
Ayrton Portillo
90'
M. Sosa← F. Altamira
90'
L. Dupuy← M. Gonzalez

Possession

52%Godoy

Shots

12Godoy

Pass accuracy

57%Godoy

Statistics

GodoySan
Overview
52%Possession48%
12Total Shots8
0.69Expected Goals (xG)0.90
4Corners5
16Fouls12
Shots
12Total Shots8
2On Target4
6Off Target1
4Blocked3
7Inside Box5
5Outside Box3
Passing
52%Possession48%
216Total Passes211
143Accurate Passes104
66%Pass Accuracy49%
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
0.13Goals Prevented0.13
Discipline
16Fouls12
2Yellow Cards3
2Offsides1

Match Recap: Godoy Cruz vs San Martin S.J.

Godoy Cruz and San Martin S.J. drew 0-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on November 2, 2025.

Godoy Cruz controlled possession (52%) and registered 12 shots to 8.

The match was played at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte in Mendoza.