Godoy Cruz 3–1 Platense: Result & Stats

Godoy Cruz

FT

3 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Platense

R. Tesuri 90+1'

W. Cartagena 87'

E. Bullaude 32'

T. Palacios 26'

3/6/2021

Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 4Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Godoy Cruz44%

×Draw28%

Platense27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Godoy CruzExpected goals in this matchPlatense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.28

0.93

Godoy Cruz

1.28

Platense

0.93

Godoy Cruz creates 38% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 21 away

1.35

creates per match

0.73

1.12

allows per match

1.21

creates per match

Godoy Cruz

1.35

Platense

0.73

allows per match

Godoy Cruz

1.12

Platense

1.21

+0.08on par

finishing

+0.03on par

finishing

Godoy Cruz+0.08on par

Platense+0.03on par

Total goals

Under62
Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Godoy Cruz ↓

Platense →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–110%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

38%62%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Godoy Cruz or draw

73%

Godoy Cruz or Platense

72%

Draw or Platense

56%

Winning margin

Godoy Cruz wins by 2+

20%

Platense wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Godoy Cruz 1+ goals

72%

Godoy Cruz 2+ goals

37%

Godoy Cruz 3+ goals

14%

Platense 1+ goals

61%

Platense 2+ goals

24%

Platense 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Godoy Cruz (draw refunded)

62%

Platense (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Godoy Cruz at home — creates 1.35, concedes 1.12 · 7 matches

Platense away — creates 0.73, concedes 1.21 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Godoy Cruz attack 1.35 + Platense defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.28

Platense attack 0.73 + Godoy Cruz defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Godoy Cruz scores more

44%

level

28%

Platense scores more

27%

Godoy Cruz at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Godoy Cruz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

12

J. Espínola

Godoy Cruz · G

7.5

Match Events

26'

T. Palacios↳ M. Tissera

32'

E. Bullaude↳ C. Colmán

35'

40'

46'

48'

58'

63'

64'

66'

M. Ramírez← E. Bullaude

66'

M. Ojeda← V. Burgoa

72'

C. Núñez← M. Bogado

72'

F. Ilarregui← M. Tissera

77'

A. Aguirre← M. Dos Santos

77'

T. Badaloni← C. Colmán

81'

I. Puleio← N. Zeineddin

84'

J. Sinisterra← T. Palacios

87'

W. Cartagena↳ M. Ojeda

90+4'

Gianluca Ferrari

90+1'

R. Tesuri↳ M. Ramírez

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GodoyPlatense

Overview

57%Possession43%

22Total Shots12

7Corners4

8Fouls11

Shots

22Total Shots12

10On Target6

10Off Target4

2Blocked2

15Inside Box8

7Outside Box4

Passing

57%Possession43%

442Total Passes335

338Accurate Passes229

76%Pass Accuracy68%

Goalkeeping

5Saves6

Discipline

8Fouls11

2Yellow Cards4

2Offsides1

Liga Profesional Argentina: Godoy Cruz 3–1 Platense

Godoy Cruz beat Platense 3-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on March 6, 2021.

Goals: T. Palacios (26'), E. Bullaude (32'), W. Cartagena (87'), R. Tesuri (90+1').

Godoy Cruz controlled possession (57%) and registered 22 shots to 12.

The match was played at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas in Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza.

Godoy Cruz vs Platense — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina: Godoy Cruz 3–1 Platense