Godoy Cruz 0–0 Deportivo Madryn: Result & Stats

Godoy Cruz

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Deportivo Madryn

3/1/2026

Primera Nacional · Round 3Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Godoy Cruz50%

×Draw29%

Deportivo Madryn21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Godoy CruzExpected goals in this matchDeportivo Madryn

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.31

0.74

Godoy Cruz

1.31

Deportivo Madryn

0.74

Godoy Cruz creates 77% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 84 away

1.60

creates per match

0.89

0.60

allows per match

1.01

creates per match

Godoy Cruz

1.60

Deportivo Madryn

0.89

allows per match

Godoy Cruz

0.60

Deportivo Madryn

1.01

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Godoy Cruz+0.00on par

Deportivo Madryn+0.00on par

Total goals

Under66
Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No62
Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Godoy Cruz ↓

Deportivo Madryn →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–110%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

61%39%2.5

34%66%3.5

15%85%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Godoy Cruz or draw

79%

Godoy Cruz or Deportivo Madryn

71%

Draw or Deportivo Madryn

50%

Winning margin

Godoy Cruz wins by 2+

24%

Deportivo Madryn wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Godoy Cruz 1+ goals

73%

Godoy Cruz 2+ goals

38%

Godoy Cruz 3+ goals

14%

Deportivo Madryn 1+ goals

52%

Deportivo Madryn 2+ goals

17%

Deportivo Madryn 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Godoy Cruz (draw refunded)

70%

Deportivo Madryn (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Godoy Cruz at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.60 · 10 matches

Deportivo Madryn away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.01 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Godoy Cruz attack 1.60 + Deportivo Madryn defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.31

Deportivo Madryn attack 0.89 + Godoy Cruz defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Godoy Cruz scores more

50%

level

29%

Deportivo Madryn scores more

21%

Godoy Cruz at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Godoy Cruz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff