Goa 1–0 SC Delhi: Result & Stats

Goa

FT

1 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

SC Delhi

D. Drazic 43'

2/26/2026

Indian Super League · Round 3Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Goa58%

×Draw24%

SC Delhi19%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GoaExpected goals in this matchSC Delhi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.72

0.86

Goa

1.72

SC Delhi

0.86

Goa creates 100% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 7 away

1.73

creates per match

1.00

0.73

allows per match

1.71

creates per match

Goa

1.73

SC Delhi

1.00

allows per match

Goa

0.73

SC Delhi

1.71

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Goa+0.00on par

SC Delhi+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Goa ↓

SC Delhi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–111%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Goa or draw

81%

Goa or SC Delhi

76%

Draw or SC Delhi

42%

Winning margin

Goa wins by 2+

32%

SC Delhi wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Goa 1+ goals

82%

Goa 2+ goals

51%

Goa 3+ goals

25%

SC Delhi 1+ goals

58%

SC Delhi 2+ goals

21%

SC Delhi 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Goa (draw refunded)

76%

SC Delhi (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Goa at home — creates 1.73, concedes 0.73 · 11 matches

SC Delhi away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.71 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Goa attack 1.73 + SC Delhi defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.72

SC Delhi attack 1.00 + Goa defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Goa scores more

58%

level

24%

SC Delhi scores more

19%

Goa at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Goa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'

J. Sunny

43'

D. Drazic↳ A. Sangwan

45+3'

D. Drazic

46'

Y. Sanatomba Singh← M. Mohammed

64'

Ramhlunchhunga← J. Sunny

64'

M. Aimen← A. Adhikari

85'

D. Lalhlimpuia← I. Pandita

85'

A. Rabeeh A K← B. Fernandes

90'

A. Rabeeh A K

90'

A. Saji← M. Babovic

90+4'

K. Subba← M. Azhar

Goa

SC

20

13

33

4

41

▼

Mohammed

19

Lalrochan

8

▼

Adhikari

24

▼

Azhar

43

Hudu

7

▼

Babovic

11

▼

55

17

3

4

27

A

21

15

14

7

▼

Fernandes

26

▼

Pandita

71

⚽

Drazic

Manager: Manolo Marquez

85'▲D. Lalhlimpuia←▼I. Pandita

85'▲A. Rabeeh A K←▼B. Fernandes

Goa substitutes

13Sharma19Lalhlimpuia29Fernandes23Patre35Kharbudon30Tamang18Lalrinzuala77K47Malsawmtluanga

46'▲Y. Sanatomba Singh←▼M. Mohammed

64'▲Ramhlunchhunga←▼J. Sunny

64'▲M. Aimen←▼A. Adhikari

90'▲A. Saji←▼M. Babovic

90+4'▲K. Subba←▼M. Azhar

SC Delhi substitutes

31Yadav10Ramhlunchhunga15Fernandes25Singh9Saji6Mehta29Murgaokar23Aimen16Subba

Goa 1 – 0 SC Delhi

Goa beat SC Delhi 1-0 in Indian Super League on February 26, 2026.

Goals: D. Drazic (43').

The match was played at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in Margao.

Goa vs SC Delhi — Indian Super League 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Goa 1 – 0 SC Delhi