Goa 1–1 Inter Kashi: Result & Stats

Goa

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Inter Kashi

D. Drazic 84' (pen)

P. Karuthadathkuni 45'

2/14/2026

Indian Super League · Round 1Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Goa46%

×Draw30%

Inter Kashi24%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GoaExpected goals in this matchInter Kashi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.22

0.80

Goa

1.22

Inter Kashi

0.80

Goa creates 52% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 9 away

1.33

creates per match

0.78

0.83

allows per match

1.11

creates per match

Goa

1.33

Inter Kashi

0.78

allows per match

Goa

0.83

Inter Kashi

1.11

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Goa+0.00on par

Inter Kashi+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Goa ↓

Inter Kashi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–111%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Goa or draw

76%

Goa or Inter Kashi

70%

Draw or Inter Kashi

54%

Winning margin

Goa wins by 2+

20%

Inter Kashi wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Goa 1+ goals

70%

Goa 2+ goals

34%

Goa 3+ goals

12%

Inter Kashi 1+ goals

55%

Inter Kashi 2+ goals

19%

Inter Kashi 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Goa (draw refunded)

65%

Inter Kashi (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Goa at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

Inter Kashi away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Goa attack 1.33 + Inter Kashi defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.22

Inter Kashi attack 0.78 + Goa defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Goa scores more

46%

level

30%

Inter Kashi scores more

24%

Goa at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Goa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

71

D. Drazic

Goa · F

7.6

Match Events

21'

Prasanth Karuthadathkuni

45'

P. Karuthadathkuni↳ H. Singh

46'

A. Rabeeh A K← P. Gaonkar

61'

S. Tavora← B. Singh

64'

W. Vaz← N. Chandan

64'

D. Humanes← N. Petkevicius

69'

Wayne Vaz

69'

S. Passi← H. Singh

69'

A. Khan← P. Karuthadathkuni

73'

R. Fernandes← A. Chhetri

80'

Lluis Tarrés

83'

S. Dhas← R. Danu

84'

D. DrazicPenalty

85'

Abdul Rabeeh

89'

I. Pandita← M. Nemil

90+6'

David Humanes

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GoaInter

Overview

65%Possession35%

13Total Shots8

1.49Expected Goals (xG)0.74

5Corners5

6Fouls10

Shots

13Total Shots8

6On Target4

5Off Target2

2Blocked2

9Inside Box3

4Outside Box5

Passing

65%Possession35%

555Total Passes290

477Accurate Passes214

86%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

Discipline

6Fouls10

1Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards1

1Offsides2

Indian Super League: Goa 1–1 Inter Kashi

Goa and Inter Kashi drew 1-1 in Indian Super League on February 14, 2026.

Goals: P. Karuthadathkuni (45'), D. Drazic (84' pen).

Goa controlled possession (65%) and registered 13 shots to 8.

The match was played at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in Margao.

Goa vs Inter Kashi — Indian Super League 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Indian Super League: Goa 1–1 Inter Kashi