Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Gloria Băneasa vs Agricola Borcea — Liga III - Serie 3 2020

Gloria Băneasa
Gloria Băneasa
FT
9 – 1
Agricola Borcea
Agricola Borcea
5/17/2025Liga III - Serie 3Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 2nd Phase - 9Stadionul Central Băneasa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

Gloria Băneasa49%
×Draw21%
Agricola Borcea30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gloria Băneasa
2.07
Agricola Borcea
1.60

Gloria Băneasa creates 29% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 62 away

creates per match

Gloria Băneasa
1.98
Agricola Borcea
1.66

allows per match

Gloria Băneasa
1.54
Agricola Borcea
2.16

finishing

Gloria Băneasa+0.00on par
Agricola Borcea+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gloria Băneasa ↓

Agricola Borcea →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Gloria Băneasa or draw
70%
Gloria Băneasa or Agricola Borcea
79%
Draw or Agricola Borcea
51%

Winning margin

Gloria Băneasa wins by 2+
28%
Agricola Borcea wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Gloria Băneasa 1+ goals
87%
Gloria Băneasa 2+ goals
61%
Gloria Băneasa 3+ goals
34%
Agricola Borcea 1+ goals
80%
Agricola Borcea 2+ goals
47%
Agricola Borcea 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Gloria Băneasa (draw refunded)
62%
Agricola Borcea (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gloria Băneasa at home — creates 1.98, concedes 1.54 · 57 matches

Agricola Borcea away — creates 1.66, concedes 2.16 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gloria Băneasa attack 1.98 + Agricola Borcea defence 2.16 → ÷2 → 2.07

Agricola Borcea attack 1.66 + Gloria Băneasa defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Gloria Băneasa scores more
49%
level
21%
Agricola Borcea scores more
30%

Gloria Băneasa at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Gloria Băneasa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Gloria Băneasa vs Agricola Borcea

Gloria Băneasa beat Agricola Borcea 9-1 in Liga III - Serie 3 on May 17, 2025.

The match was played at Stadionul Central Băneasa in Băneasa.