Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

GKS Katowice vs TSC Backa Topola — Friendlies Clubs 2026

GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
TSC Backa Topola
TSC Backa Topola
A. Blad 88'
M. Wdowiak 21'
V. Mboungou 69'
1/20/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

GKS Katowice62%
×Draw21%
TSC Backa Topola18%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

GKS Katowice
2.08
TSC Backa Topola
1.02

GKS Katowice creates 104% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 5 away

creates per match

GKS Katowice
2.15
TSC Backa Topola
1.20

allows per match

GKS Katowice
0.85
TSC Backa Topola
2.00

finishing

GKS Katowice+0.00on par
TSC Backa Topola+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

GKS Katowice ↓

TSC Backa Topola →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

GKS Katowice or draw
82%
GKS Katowice or TSC Backa Topola
79%
Draw or TSC Backa Topola
38%

Winning margin

GKS Katowice wins by 2+
38%
TSC Backa Topola wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

GKS Katowice 1+ goals
87%
GKS Katowice 2+ goals
61%
GKS Katowice 3+ goals
34%
TSC Backa Topola 1+ goals
64%
TSC Backa Topola 2+ goals
27%
TSC Backa Topola 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

GKS Katowice (draw refunded)
78%
TSC Backa Topola (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

GKS Katowice at home — creates 2.15, concedes 0.85 · 13 matches

TSC Backa Topola away — creates 1.20, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

GKS Katowice attack 2.15 + TSC Backa Topola defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.08

TSC Backa Topola attack 1.20 + GKS Katowice defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

GKS Katowice scores more
62%
level
21%
TSC Backa Topola scores more
18%

GKS Katowice at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "GKS Katowice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'
M. Wdowiak
69'
V. Mboungou
88'
A. Blad
GKS
TSC
Rafal Gorak
Manager: Rafal Gorak
Darije Kalezic
Manager: Darije Kalezic

GKS Katowice 2 – 1 TSC Backa Topola

GKS Katowice beat TSC Backa Topola 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2026.

Goals: M. Wdowiak (21'), V. Mboungou (69'), A. Blad (88').