GKS Katowice 3–0 Petrolul Ploiesti: Result & Stats

GKS Katowice

3 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Petrolul Ploiesti

A. Zrelak 63'

E. Markovic 51'

B. Galan 43'

1/11/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

GKS Katowice52%

×Draw23%

Petrolul Ploiesti26%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GKS KatowiceExpected goals in this matchPetrolul Ploiesti

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.88

1.27

GKS Katowice

1.88

Petrolul Ploiesti

1.27

GKS Katowice creates 48% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 10 away

2.15

creates per match

1.70

0.85

allows per match

1.60

creates per match

GKS Katowice

2.15

Petrolul Ploiesti

1.70

allows per match

GKS Katowice

0.85

Petrolul Ploiesti

1.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

GKS Katowice+0.00on par

Petrolul Ploiesti+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

GKS Katowice ↓

Petrolul Ploiesti →

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

GKS Katowice or draw

74%

GKS Katowice or Petrolul Ploiesti

77%

Draw or Petrolul Ploiesti

48%

Winning margin

GKS Katowice wins by 2+

29%

Petrolul Ploiesti wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

GKS Katowice 1+ goals

85%

GKS Katowice 2+ goals

56%

GKS Katowice 3+ goals

29%

Petrolul Ploiesti 1+ goals

72%

Petrolul Ploiesti 2+ goals

36%

Petrolul Ploiesti 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

GKS Katowice (draw refunded)

67%

Petrolul Ploiesti (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

51%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

GKS Katowice at home — creates 2.15, concedes 0.85 · 13 matches

Petrolul Ploiesti away — creates 1.70, concedes 1.60 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

GKS Katowice attack 2.15 + Petrolul Ploiesti defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.88

Petrolul Ploiesti attack 1.70 + GKS Katowice defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 52%?"

GKS Katowice scores more

52%

level

23%

Petrolul Ploiesti scores more

26%

GKS Katowice at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "GKS Katowice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

43'

B. Galan

51'

E. Markovic

63'

A. Zrelak

GKS

Petrolul

⚽

Manager: Rafal Gorak

GKS Katowice substitutes

12Straczek16Rogala18Swatowski6Klemenz15Markovic19Lukasiak77Kowalczyk10Wedrychowski99Zrelak21KokosinskiCholewinskiBulik17Wdowiak

Manager: Eugen Neagoe

Petrolul Ploiesti substitutes

1Balbarau2Rodrigues42Guilherme64Marian8Mateiu20Hanca97Dumitrache21ParaschivManolache9Chica-Rosa

Match Recap: GKS Katowice vs Petrolul Ploiesti

GKS Katowice beat Petrolul Ploiesti 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 11, 2026.

Goals: B. Galan (43'), E. Markovic (51'), A. Zrelak (63').

GKS Katowice vs Petrolul Ploiesti — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: GKS Katowice vs Petrolul Ploiesti