Gimnasia L.P. 5–0 Dock Sud: Result & Stats

Gimnasia L.P.

5 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Dock Sud

E. Ramírez 57'

L. Contín 50'

R. Cecchini 42'

M. Pérez 30'

J. Carbonero 2'

3/24/2021

Copa Argentina · Round of 32Estadio Alfredo Martín Beranger

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Gimnasia L.P.76%

×Draw15%

Dock Sud8%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Gimnasia L.P.Expected goals in this matchDock Sud

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.46

0.67

Gimnasia L.P.

2.46

Dock Sud

0.67

Gimnasia L.P. creates 267% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 3 away

1.92

creates per match

0.67

allows per match

3.00

creates per match

Gimnasia L.P.

1.92

Dock Sud

0.67

allows per match

Gimnasia L.P.

0.67

Dock Sud

3.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Gimnasia L.P.+0.00on par

Dock Sud+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gimnasia L.P. ↓

Dock Sud →

0–04%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1–011%

1–17%

1–22%

1–31%

1–40%

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3–011%

3–17%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–07%

4–15%

4–22%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Gimnasia L.P. or draw

92%

Gimnasia L.P. or Dock Sud

85%

Draw or Dock Sud

24%

Winning margin

Gimnasia L.P. wins by 2+

54%

Dock Sud wins by 2+

Team goals

Gimnasia L.P. 1+ goals

91%

Gimnasia L.P. 2+ goals

70%

Gimnasia L.P. 3+ goals

44%

Dock Sud 1+ goals

49%

Dock Sud 2+ goals

15%

Dock Sud 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Gimnasia L.P. (draw refunded)

90%

Dock Sud (draw refunded)

10%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Gimnasia L.P. at home — creates 1.92, concedes 0.67 · 12 matches

Dock Sud away — creates 0.67, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Gimnasia L.P. attack 1.92 + Dock Sud defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.46

Dock Sud attack 0.67 + Gimnasia L.P. defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 76%?"

Gimnasia L.P. scores more

76%

level

15%

Dock Sud scores more

Gimnasia L.P. at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Gimnasia L.P. will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

J. Carbonero↳ R. Cecchini

L. Medina

30'

M. Pérez

42'

R. Cecchini↳ M. Pérez

44'

F. Perez

46'

B. Barros Schelotto← J. Carbonero

46'

E. Ramírez← M. Weigandt

50'

L. Contín↳ E. Ramírez

57'

E. Ramírez↳ M. Miranda

59'

I. Miramon← H. Mancilla

61'

M. Blanco← F. Pérez

61'

L. Villalba← L. Medina

69'

M. Comba← M. Miranda

71'

S. Cocimano← L. Contín

77'

S. Modon

80'

G. Oberman← L. Caruso

80'

N. Troxler← E. Tamborelli

Gimnasia

Dock

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽A

▼

⚽A

⚽

▼

Carbonero

▼

Miranda

⚽

▼

Contín

Manager: M. Messera

46'▲B. Barros Schelotto←▼J. Carbonero

46'▲E. Ramírez←▼M. Weigandt

59'▲I. Miramon←▼H. Mancilla

69'▲M. Comba←▼M. Miranda

71'▲S. Cocimano←▼L. Contín

Gimnasia L.P. substitutes

20Schelotto43Ramírez36Miramon30Comba37Cocimano10Alemán16Ayala8Barrios31Napolitano32Melluso24Guiffrey17Rey

Manager: G. De Lucca

61'▲M. Blanco←▼F. Pérez

61'▲L. Villalba←▼L. Medina

80'▲G. Oberman←▼L. Caruso

80'▲N. Troxler←▼E. Tamborelli

Dock Sud substitutes

17Blanco16Villalba20Oberman14Troxler15Pérez21Ávalos23Cabrera12Wysocki19Motta22Tello18Gorgol

Copa Argentina: Gimnasia L.P. 5–0 Dock Sud

Gimnasia L.P. beat Dock Sud 5-0 in Copa Argentina on March 24, 2021.

Goals: J. Carbonero (2'), M. Pérez (30'), R. Cecchini (42'), L. Contín (50'), E. Ramírez (57').

The match was played at Estadio Alfredo Martín Beranger in Temperley, Provincia de Buenos Aires.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Dock Sud — Copa Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Copa Argentina: Gimnasia L.P. 5–0 Dock Sud