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Gimnasia Jujuy vs All Boys — Primera Nacional 2026

Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Jujuy
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
All Boys
All Boys
9/4/2021Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional · Round 24Estadio 23 de Agosto

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 117+ matches

Gimnasia Jujuy50%
×Draw30%
All Boys19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gimnasia Jujuy
1.22
All Boys
0.64

Gimnasia Jujuy creates 91% more chances

Season form · 124 home / 117 away

creates per match

Gimnasia Jujuy
1.25
All Boys
0.65

allows per match

Gimnasia Jujuy
0.63
All Boys
1.19

finishing

Gimnasia Jujuy+0.00on par
All Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gimnasia Jujuy ↓

All Boys →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–110%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–019%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–17%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
55%45%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Gimnasia Jujuy or draw
81%
Gimnasia Jujuy or All Boys
70%
Draw or All Boys
50%

Winning margin

Gimnasia Jujuy wins by 2+
23%
All Boys wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Gimnasia Jujuy 1+ goals
70%
Gimnasia Jujuy 2+ goals
34%
Gimnasia Jujuy 3+ goals
12%
All Boys 1+ goals
47%
All Boys 2+ goals
14%
All Boys 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Gimnasia Jujuy (draw refunded)
72%
All Boys (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gimnasia Jujuy at home — creates 1.25, concedes 0.63 · 124 matches

All Boys away — creates 0.65, concedes 1.19 · 117 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gimnasia Jujuy attack 1.25 + All Boys defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.22

All Boys attack 0.65 + Gimnasia Jujuy defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Gimnasia Jujuy scores more
50%
level
30%
All Boys scores more
19%

Gimnasia Jujuy at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Gimnasia Jujuy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Gimnasia Jujuy vs All Boys

Gimnasia Jujuy beat All Boys 1-0 in Primera Nacional on September 4, 2021.

The match was played at Estadio 23 de Agosto in San Salvador de Jujuy, Provincia de Jujuy.