Gijón Industrial 0–0 Langreo II: Result & Stats

Gijón Industrial

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Langreo II

12/12/2021

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 18Estadio Santa Cruz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Gijón Industrial52%

×Draw23%

Langreo II25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Gijón IndustrialExpected goals in this matchLangreo II

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.84

1.22

Gijón Industrial

1.84

Langreo II

1.22

Gijón Industrial creates 51% more chances

Season form · 80 home / 19 away

1.52

creates per match

1.00

1.44

allows per match

2.16

creates per match

Gijón Industrial

1.52

Langreo II

1.00

allows per match

Gijón Industrial

1.44

Langreo II

2.16

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Gijón Industrial+0.00on par

Langreo II+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gijón Industrial ↓

Langreo II →

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1–09%

1–111%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Gijón Industrial or draw

75%

Gijón Industrial or Langreo II

77%

Draw or Langreo II

48%

Winning margin

Gijón Industrial wins by 2+

29%

Langreo II wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Gijón Industrial 1+ goals

84%

Gijón Industrial 2+ goals

55%

Gijón Industrial 3+ goals

28%

Langreo II 1+ goals

70%

Langreo II 2+ goals

34%

Langreo II 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Gijón Industrial (draw refunded)

67%

Langreo II (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Gijón Industrial at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.44 · 80 matches

Langreo II away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.16 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Gijón Industrial attack 1.52 + Langreo II defence 2.16 → ÷2 → 1.84

Langreo II attack 1.00 + Gijón Industrial defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 52%?"

Gijón Industrial scores more

52%

level

23%

Langreo II scores more

25%

Gijón Industrial at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Gijón Industrial will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Gijón Industrial vs Langreo II

Gijón Industrial and Langreo II drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 on December 12, 2021.

The match was played at Estadio Santa Cruz in Gijón.

Gijón Industrial vs Langreo II — Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Gijón Industrial vs Langreo II