Ghana 2–0 Switzerland: Result & Stats | Friendlies

Ghana

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Switzerland

A. Semenyo 74'

M. Salisu 70'

11/17/2022

Friendlies · Friendlies 1Sheikh Zayed Sports City

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Ghana43%

×Draw31%

Switzerland27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GhanaExpected goals in this matchSwitzerland

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.13

0.83

Ghana

1.13

Switzerland

0.83

Ghana creates 36% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 12 away

1.33

creates per match

1.17

0.50

allows per match

0.92

creates per match

Ghana

1.33

Switzerland

1.17

allows per match

Ghana

0.50

Switzerland

0.92

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Ghana+0.00on par

Switzerland+0.00on par

Total goals

Under69
Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No62
Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ghana ↓

Switzerland →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–112%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

58%42%2.5

31%69%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Ghana or draw

73%

Ghana or Switzerland

69%

Draw or Switzerland

57%

Winning margin

Ghana wins by 2+

18%

Switzerland wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Ghana 1+ goals

68%

Ghana 2+ goals

31%

Ghana 3+ goals

11%

Switzerland 1+ goals

56%

Switzerland 2+ goals

20%

Switzerland 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Ghana (draw refunded)

61%

Switzerland (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

25%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ghana at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.50 · 6 matches

Switzerland away — creates 1.17, concedes 0.92 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ghana attack 1.33 + Switzerland defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 1.13

Switzerland attack 1.17 + Ghana defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Ghana scores more

43%

level

31%

Switzerland scores more

27%

Ghana at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Ghana will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4

M. Salisu

Ghana · D

7.5

Match Events

46'

M. Aebischer← B. Embolo

46'

N. Elvedi← M. Akanji

46'

N. Okafor← R. Freuler

59'

Silvan Widmer

62'

K. Sulemana← I. Williams

62'

K. Sowah← D. Afriyie

62'

A. Semenyo← J. Ayew

62'

D. Kyereh← E. Owusu

62'

R. Steffen← R. Vargas

62'

C. Fassnacht← S. Widmer

65'

H. Seferović← F. Schär

67'

Kamaldeen Sulemana

70'

M. Salisu

74'

A. Semenyo↳ K. Sulemana

77'

J. Aidoo← M. Salisu

80'

A. Seidu← T. Lamptey

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GhanaSwitzerland

Overview

44%Possession56%

11Total Shots7

2Corners5

7Fouls11

Shots

11Total Shots7

6On Target0

4Off Target5

1Blocked2

8Inside Box5

3Outside Box2

Passing

44%Possession56%

382Total Passes481

333Accurate Passes426

87%Pass Accuracy89%

Goalkeeping

0Saves4

Discipline

7Fouls11

1Yellow Cards1

4Offsides2