Scoreo

Geylang International vs Balestier KhalsaPremier League 2019

5/15/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 6Tampines Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 82+ matches

Geylang International44%
×Draw20%
Balestier Khalsa36%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Geylang International
2.19
Balestier Khalsa
1.96

Geylang International creates 12% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 82 away

creates per match

Geylang International
1.94
Balestier Khalsa
1.88

allows per match

Geylang International
2.05
Balestier Khalsa
2.44

finishing

Geylang International+0.00on par
Balestier Khalsa+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Geylang International

Balestier Khalsa
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
013%
023%
032%
041%
1
103%
117%
127%
134%
142%
2
204%
217%
227%
235%
242%
3
303%
315%
325%
334%
342%
4
402%
413%
423%
432%
441%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Geylang International or draw
64%
Geylang International or Balestier Khalsa
80%
Draw or Balestier Khalsa
56%

Winning margin

Geylang International wins by 2+
25%
Balestier Khalsa wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Geylang International 1+ goals
89%
Geylang International 2+ goals
64%
Geylang International 3+ goals
37%
Balestier Khalsa 1+ goals
86%
Balestier Khalsa 2+ goals
58%
Balestier Khalsa 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Geylang International (draw refunded)
55%
Balestier Khalsa (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Geylang International at homecreates 1.94, concedes 2.05 · 83 matches

Balestier Khalsa awaycreates 1.88, concedes 2.44 · 82 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Geylang International attack 1.94 + Balestier Khalsa defence 2.44 → ÷2 → 2.19

Balestier Khalsa attack 1.88 + Geylang International defence 2.05 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Geylang International scores more
44%
level
20%
Balestier Khalsa scores more
36%

Geylang International at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Geylang International will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Geylang International 3–4 Balestier Khalsa

Balestier Khalsa beat Geylang International 4-3 in Premier League on May 15, 2026.

The match was played at Tampines Stadium in Tampines.