Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Génération Foot vs Oslo — Ligue 1 2019

Génération Foot
Génération Foot
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Oslo
Oslo
6/14/2025Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Round 27Stade Lat Dior

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Génération Foot48%
×Draw30%
Oslo22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Génération Foot
1.24
Oslo
0.73

Génération Foot creates 70% more chances

Season form · 89 home / 15 away

creates per match

Génération Foot
1.21
Oslo
0.80

allows per match

Génération Foot
0.66
Oslo
1.27

finishing

Génération Foot+0.00on par
Oslo+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Génération Foot ↓

Oslo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
31%69%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Génération Foot or draw
78%
Génération Foot or Oslo
70%
Draw or Oslo
52%

Winning margin

Génération Foot wins by 2+
22%
Oslo wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Génération Foot 1+ goals
71%
Génération Foot 2+ goals
35%
Génération Foot 3+ goals
13%
Oslo 1+ goals
52%
Oslo 2+ goals
17%
Oslo 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Génération Foot (draw refunded)
69%
Oslo (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Génération Foot at home — creates 1.21, concedes 0.66 · 89 matches

Oslo away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Génération Foot attack 1.21 + Oslo defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.24

Oslo attack 0.80 + Génération Foot defence 0.66 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Génération Foot scores more
48%
level
30%
Oslo scores more
22%

Génération Foot at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Génération Foot will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Génération Foot vs Oslo

Oslo beat Génération Foot 1-0 in Ligue 1 on June 14, 2025.

The match was played at Stade Lat Dior in Thiès.