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General Lamadrid vs Dock Sud — Primera C 2026

General Lamadrid
General Lamadrid
FT
2 – 0
Dock Sud
Dock Sud
T. Pavone 71', 54'
12/19/2020Primera CPrimera C · Upper Table Round - 4Estadio Enrique VI

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

General Lamadrid38%
×Draw29%
Dock Sud32%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

General Lamadrid
1.15
Dock Sud
1.03

General Lamadrid creates 12% more chances

Season form · 141 home / 60 away

creates per match

General Lamadrid
1.30
Dock Sud
1.22

allows per match

General Lamadrid
0.84
Dock Sud
1.00

finishing

General Lamadrid+0.00on par
Dock Sud+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

General Lamadrid ↓

Dock Sud →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

General Lamadrid or draw
68%
General Lamadrid or Dock Sud
71%
Draw or Dock Sud
62%

Winning margin

General Lamadrid wins by 2+
16%
Dock Sud wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

General Lamadrid 1+ goals
68%
General Lamadrid 2+ goals
32%
General Lamadrid 3+ goals
11%
Dock Sud 1+ goals
64%
Dock Sud 2+ goals
28%
Dock Sud 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

General Lamadrid (draw refunded)
54%
Dock Sud (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

General Lamadrid at home — creates 1.30, concedes 0.84 · 141 matches

Dock Sud away — creates 1.22, concedes 1.00 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

General Lamadrid attack 1.30 + Dock Sud defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.15

Dock Sud attack 1.22 + General Lamadrid defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

General Lamadrid scores more
38%
level
29%
Dock Sud scores more
32%

General Lamadrid at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "General Lamadrid will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

54'
T. Pavone
71'
T. Pavone

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: General Lamadrid vs Dock Sud

General Lamadrid beat Dock Sud 2-0 in Primera C on December 19, 2020.

Goals: T. Pavone (54', 71').

The match was played at Estadio Enrique VI in Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires.