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General Lamadrid vs Defensores de Cambaceres — Primera C 2026

General Lamadrid
General Lamadrid
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Defensores de Cambaceres
Defensores de Cambaceres
3/20/2026Primera CPrimera C · Round 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

General Lamadrid48%
×Draw30%
Defensores de Cambaceres23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

General Lamadrid
1.24
Defensores de Cambaceres
0.76

General Lamadrid creates 63% more chances

Season form · 140 home / 48 away

creates per match

General Lamadrid
1.31
Defensores de Cambaceres
0.67

allows per match

General Lamadrid
0.84
Defensores de Cambaceres
1.17

finishing

General Lamadrid+0.00on par
Defensores de Cambaceres+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Under
  • Under68
  • Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

General Lamadrid ↓

Defensores de Cambaceres →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
32%68%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

General Lamadrid or draw
77%
General Lamadrid or Defensores de Cambaceres
70%
Draw or Defensores de Cambaceres
52%

Winning margin

General Lamadrid wins by 2+
22%
Defensores de Cambaceres wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

General Lamadrid 1+ goals
71%
General Lamadrid 2+ goals
35%
General Lamadrid 3+ goals
13%
Defensores de Cambaceres 1+ goals
53%
Defensores de Cambaceres 2+ goals
18%
Defensores de Cambaceres 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

General Lamadrid (draw refunded)
68%
Defensores de Cambaceres (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

General Lamadrid at home — creates 1.31, concedes 0.84 · 140 matches

Defensores de Cambaceres away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.17 · 48 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

General Lamadrid attack 1.31 + Defensores de Cambaceres defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.24

Defensores de Cambaceres attack 0.67 + General Lamadrid defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

General Lamadrid scores more
48%
level
30%
Defensores de Cambaceres scores more
23%

General Lamadrid at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "General Lamadrid will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: General Lamadrid vs Defensores de Cambaceres

General Lamadrid and Defensores de Cambaceres drew 0-0 in Primera C on March 20, 2026.