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Gazalkent vs Yaypan — Pro League A 2026

Gazalkent
Gazalkent
Preview
13:00
Yaypan
Yaypan
9/11/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 19
47%
Gazalkent
model favours
47%24%29%
1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Gazalkent47%
×Draw24%
Yaypan29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gazalkent
1.71
Yaypan
1.29

Gazalkent creates 33% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 4 away

creates per match

Gazalkent
1.17
Yaypan
1.25

allows per match

Gazalkent
1.33
Yaypan
2.25

finishing

Gazalkent+0.00on par
Yaypan+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gazalkent ↓

Yaypan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Gazalkent or draw
71%
Gazalkent or Yaypan
76%
Draw or Yaypan
53%

Winning margin

Gazalkent wins by 2+
25%
Yaypan wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Gazalkent 1+ goals
82%
Gazalkent 2+ goals
51%
Gazalkent 3+ goals
24%
Yaypan 1+ goals
72%
Yaypan 2+ goals
37%
Yaypan 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Gazalkent (draw refunded)
62%
Yaypan (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gazalkent at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Yaypan away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gazalkent attack 1.17 + Yaypan defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.71

Yaypan attack 1.25 + Gazalkent defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Gazalkent scores more
47%
level
24%
Yaypan scores more
29%

Gazalkent at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Gazalkent will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Gazalkent
WWDWL
Yaypan
LLWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Gazalkent vs Yaypan — Match Preview

Gazalkent face Yaypan on September 11, 2026 in this Pro League A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.