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Galway United W vs Peamount United W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Galway United W
Galway United Wadvanced
Pens
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Peamount United W
Peamount United W
N. Farrelly 120+5' (pen)
L. Grant 120+4' (pen)
E. Doherty 120+3' (pen)
K. Thompson 120+2' (pen)
A. McQuillan 120+1' (pen)
A. McGough 90+2'
Unknown 120+4' (pen)
A. Spillane 120+3' (pen)
F. Healy 120+1' (pen)
S. Melia 36'
6/27/2026All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Semi-finals

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Galway United W54%
×Draw23%
Peamount United W23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Galway United W
1.78
Peamount United W
1.06

Galway United W creates 68% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 7 away

creates per match

Galway United W
2.27
Peamount United W
1.57

allows per match

Galway United W
0.55
Peamount United W
1.29

finishing

Galway United W+0.00on par
Peamount United W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Galway United W ↓

Peamount United W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Galway United W or draw
77%
Galway United W or Peamount United W
77%
Draw or Peamount United W
46%

Winning margin

Galway United W wins by 2+
30%
Peamount United W wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Galway United W 1+ goals
83%
Galway United W 2+ goals
53%
Galway United W 3+ goals
26%
Peamount United W 1+ goals
65%
Peamount United W 2+ goals
29%
Peamount United W 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Galway United W (draw refunded)
71%
Peamount United W (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Galway United W at home — creates 2.27, concedes 0.55 · 11 matches

Peamount United W away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Galway United W attack 2.27 + Peamount United W defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.78

Peamount United W attack 1.57 + Galway United W defence 0.55 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Galway United W scores more
54%
level
23%
Peamount United W scores more
23%

Galway United W at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Galway United W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

36'
S. Melia
90+2'
A. McGough
120+1'
A. McQuillanPenalty
120+1'
F. HealyPenalty
120+2'
K. ThompsonPenalty
120+2'
S. ByrneMissed penalty
120+3'
E. DohertyPenalty
120+3'
A. SpillanePenalty
120+4'
L. GrantPenalty
120+4'
Penalty
120+5'
N. FarrellyPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Galway United W 1 – 1 Peamount United W

Galway United W and Peamount United W drew 1-1 in All-Island Cup - Women on June 27, 2026.

Goals: S. Melia (36'), A. McGough (90+2'), A. McQuillan (120+1' pen), F. Healy (120+1' pen), K. Thompson (120+2' pen), E. Doherty (120+3' pen), A. Spillane (120+3' pen), L. Grant (120+4' pen), ? (120+4' pen), N. Farrelly (120+5' pen).