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Galway United W vs Cliftonville W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Galway United W
Galway United W
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Cliftonville W
Cliftonville W
K. Thompson 90+5'
E. Fitzgerald 22'
C. McGuinness 11'
4/26/2025All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 1Eamonn Deacy Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Galway United W69%
×Draw17%
Cliftonville W14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Galway United W
2.47
Cliftonville W
1.02

Galway United W creates 142% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

creates per match

Galway United W
2.27
Cliftonville W
1.50

allows per match

Galway United W
0.55
Cliftonville W
2.67

finishing

Galway United W+0.00on par
Cliftonville W+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Galway United W ↓

Cliftonville W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Galway United W or draw
86%
Galway United W or Cliftonville W
83%
Draw or Cliftonville W
31%

Winning margin

Galway United W wins by 2+
46%
Cliftonville W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Galway United W 1+ goals
91%
Galway United W 2+ goals
70%
Galway United W 3+ goals
44%
Cliftonville W 1+ goals
64%
Cliftonville W 2+ goals
27%
Cliftonville W 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Galway United W (draw refunded)
83%
Cliftonville W (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Galway United W at home — creates 2.27, concedes 0.55 · 11 matches

Cliftonville W away — creates 1.50, concedes 2.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Galway United W attack 2.27 + Cliftonville W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.47

Cliftonville W attack 1.50 + Galway United W defence 0.55 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Galway United W scores more
69%
level
17%
Cliftonville W scores more
14%

Galway United W at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Galway United W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'
C. McGuinness
22'
E. Fitzgerald
90+5'
K. Thompson

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Galway United W vs Cliftonville W

Galway United W beat Cliftonville W 2-1 in All-Island Cup - Women on April 26, 2025.

Goals: C. McGuinness (11'), E. Fitzgerald (22'), K. Thompson (90+5').

The match was played at Eamonn Deacy Park in Galway.