Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Galway United W vs Athlone WFC W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Galway United W
Galway United W
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Athlone WFC W
Athlone WFC W
J. Griffin 89'
A. Meaney 57'
K. Slevin 79'
C. Howe 24'
5/18/2024All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 3Eamonn Deacy Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Galway United W52%
×Draw24%
Athlone WFC W24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Galway United W
1.75
Athlone WFC W
1.11

Galway United W creates 58% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 9 away

creates per match

Galway United W
2.27
Athlone WFC W
1.67

allows per match

Galway United W
0.55
Athlone WFC W
1.22

finishing

Galway United W+0.00on par
Athlone WFC W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Galway United W ↓

Athlone WFC W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Galway United W or draw
76%
Galway United W or Athlone WFC W
76%
Draw or Athlone WFC W
48%

Winning margin

Galway United W wins by 2+
29%
Athlone WFC W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Galway United W 1+ goals
83%
Galway United W 2+ goals
52%
Galway United W 3+ goals
25%
Athlone WFC W 1+ goals
67%
Athlone WFC W 2+ goals
30%
Athlone WFC W 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Galway United W (draw refunded)
68%
Athlone WFC W (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Galway United W at home — creates 2.27, concedes 0.55 · 11 matches

Athlone WFC W away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Galway United W attack 2.27 + Athlone WFC W defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.75

Athlone WFC W attack 1.67 + Galway United W defence 0.55 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Galway United W scores more
52%
level
24%
Athlone WFC W scores more
24%

Galway United W at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Galway United W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

24'
C. Howe
57'
A. Meaney
79'
K. Slevin
89'
J. Griffin

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: Galway United W 2–2 Athlone WFC W

Galway United W and Athlone WFC W drew 2-2 in All-Island Cup - Women on May 18, 2024.

Goals: C. Howe (24'), A. Meaney (57'), K. Slevin (79'), J. Griffin (89').

The match was played at Eamonn Deacy Park in Galway.