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Galtabacks vs Torslanda — Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2019

Galtabacks
Galtabacks
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Torslanda
Torslanda
5/8/2026Division 2 - Västra GötalandDivision 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Galtabacks46%
×Draw24%
Torslanda30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Galtabacks
1.67
Torslanda
1.32

Galtabacks creates 27% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 37 away

creates per match

Galtabacks
1.57
Torslanda
1.35

allows per match

Galtabacks
1.29
Torslanda
1.76

finishing

Galtabacks+0.00on par
Torslanda+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Galtabacks ↓

Torslanda →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Galtabacks or draw
70%
Galtabacks or Torslanda
76%
Draw or Torslanda
54%

Winning margin

Galtabacks wins by 2+
24%
Torslanda wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Galtabacks 1+ goals
81%
Galtabacks 2+ goals
50%
Galtabacks 3+ goals
23%
Torslanda 1+ goals
73%
Torslanda 2+ goals
38%
Torslanda 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Galtabacks (draw refunded)
60%
Torslanda (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Galtabacks at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

Torslanda away — creates 1.35, concedes 1.76 · 37 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Galtabacks attack 1.57 + Torslanda defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.67

Torslanda attack 1.35 + Galtabacks defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Galtabacks scores more
46%
level
24%
Torslanda scores more
30%

Galtabacks at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Galtabacks will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division 2 - Västra Götaland: Galtabacks 1–2 Torslanda

Torslanda beat Galtabacks 2-1 in Division 2 - Västra Götaland on May 8, 2026.