Fyllingsdalen W 2–0 TIL 2020 W: Result & Stats

Fyllingsdalen W

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

TIL 2020 W

6/15/2025

1. Division Women · Round 10Varden Amfi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Fyllingsdalen W33%

×Draw25%

TIL 2020 W42%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Fyllingsdalen WExpected goals in this matchTIL 2020 W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.32

1.54

Fyllingsdalen W

1.32

TIL 2020 W

1.54

TIL 2020 W creates 17% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 49 away

1.21

creates per match

1.61

1.47

allows per match

1.43

creates per match

Fyllingsdalen W

1.21

TIL 2020 W

1.61

allows per match

Fyllingsdalen W

1.47

TIL 2020 W

1.43

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Fyllingsdalen W+0.00on par

TIL 2020 W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fyllingsdalen W ↓

TIL 2020 W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–19%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Fyllingsdalen W or draw

58%

Fyllingsdalen W or TIL 2020 W

75%

Draw or TIL 2020 W

67%

Winning margin

Fyllingsdalen W wins by 2+

14%

TIL 2020 W wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Fyllingsdalen W 1+ goals

73%

Fyllingsdalen W 2+ goals

38%

Fyllingsdalen W 3+ goals

15%

TIL 2020 W 1+ goals

79%

TIL 2020 W 2+ goals

45%

TIL 2020 W 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

Fyllingsdalen W (draw refunded)

43%

TIL 2020 W (draw refunded)

57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fyllingsdalen W at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.47 · 38 matches

TIL 2020 W away — creates 1.61, concedes 1.43 · 49 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fyllingsdalen W attack 1.21 + TIL 2020 W defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.32

TIL 2020 W attack 1.61 + Fyllingsdalen W defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Fyllingsdalen W scores more

33%

level

25%

TIL 2020 W scores more

42%

TIL 2020 W at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "TIL 2020 W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff