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Fyllingsdalen W vs Frigg Oslo FK W — 1. Division Women 2022

Fyllingsdalen W
Fyllingsdalen W
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Frigg Oslo FK W
Frigg Oslo FK W
4/19/20261. Division Women1. Division Women · Round 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Fyllingsdalen W66%
×Draw21%
Frigg Oslo FK W13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fyllingsdalen W
1.94
Frigg Oslo FK W
0.73

Fyllingsdalen W creates 166% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 6 away

creates per match

Fyllingsdalen W
1.21
Frigg Oslo FK W
0.00

allows per match

Fyllingsdalen W
1.47
Frigg Oslo FK W
2.67

finishing

Fyllingsdalen W+0.00on par
Frigg Oslo FK W+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fyllingsdalen W ↓

Frigg Oslo FK W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–15%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–110%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Fyllingsdalen W or draw
87%
Fyllingsdalen W or Frigg Oslo FK W
79%
Draw or Frigg Oslo FK W
34%

Winning margin

Fyllingsdalen W wins by 2+
40%
Frigg Oslo FK W wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Fyllingsdalen W 1+ goals
86%
Fyllingsdalen W 2+ goals
58%
Fyllingsdalen W 3+ goals
30%
Frigg Oslo FK W 1+ goals
52%
Frigg Oslo FK W 2+ goals
17%
Frigg Oslo FK W 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Fyllingsdalen W (draw refunded)
83%
Frigg Oslo FK W (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fyllingsdalen W at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.47 · 38 matches

Frigg Oslo FK W away — creates 0.00, concedes 2.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fyllingsdalen W attack 1.21 + Frigg Oslo FK W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 1.94

Frigg Oslo FK W attack 0.00 + Fyllingsdalen W defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Fyllingsdalen W scores more
66%
level
21%
Frigg Oslo FK W scores more
13%

Fyllingsdalen W at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Fyllingsdalen W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Fyllingsdalen W vs Frigg Oslo FK W

Fyllingsdalen W beat Frigg Oslo FK W 2-0 in 1. Division Women on April 19, 2026.