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FV Engers 07 vs Wormatia Worms — Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar 2020

FV Engers 07
FV Engers 07
FT
6 – 2
HT: 2 – 0
Wormatia Worms
Wormatia Worms
4/25/2026Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarOberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar · Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar - 29Stadion am Wasserturm

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

FV Engers 0741%
×Draw22%
Wormatia Worms37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FV Engers 07
1.82
Wormatia Worms
1.74

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 76 home / 68 away

creates per match

FV Engers 07
1.92
Wormatia Worms
1.99

allows per match

FV Engers 07
1.49
Wormatia Worms
1.72

finishing

FV Engers 07+0.00on par
Wormatia Worms+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FV Engers 07 ↓

Wormatia Worms →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

FV Engers 07 or draw
63%
FV Engers 07 or Wormatia Worms
78%
Draw or Wormatia Worms
59%

Winning margin

FV Engers 07 wins by 2+
21%
Wormatia Worms wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

FV Engers 07 1+ goals
84%
FV Engers 07 2+ goals
54%
FV Engers 07 3+ goals
27%
Wormatia Worms 1+ goals
82%
Wormatia Worms 2+ goals
52%
Wormatia Worms 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

FV Engers 07 (draw refunded)
52%
Wormatia Worms (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FV Engers 07 at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.49 · 76 matches

Wormatia Worms away — creates 1.99, concedes 1.72 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FV Engers 07 attack 1.92 + Wormatia Worms defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.82

Wormatia Worms attack 1.99 + FV Engers 07 defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

FV Engers 07 scores more
41%
level
22%
Wormatia Worms scores more
37%

FV Engers 07 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "FV Engers 07 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FV Engers 07 vs Wormatia Worms

FV Engers 07 beat Wormatia Worms 6-2 in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar on April 25, 2026.

The match was played at Stadion am Wasserturm in Neuwied.